Emelec vs Deportivo Macará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 8
  • Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.27
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
180
Passes
79% (342/432)74% (273/369)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.61
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
180
Touches in opposition box
3512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
79% (342/432)74% (273/369)
Long passes
50% (36/72)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
60% (83/138)48% (41/85)
Crosses
31% (10/32)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.45
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1013
Tackles
58% (7/12)68% (17/25)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
1051
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.610.78
Goals prevented
-0.390.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Ayala M. 🟨,
  • 24', Marrufo J. 🟨,
  • 35', Viera M. , Morales J. ,
  • 37', Fragozo L. 🟨,
  • 41', Castelli F. 🟥,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Paz F. , Gonzalez P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Garces R. , Solis M. ,
  • 46', Ruiz J. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 46', Ayala M. , Mohor J. ,
  • 52', Mohor J. 🟨,
  • 55', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
  • 61', Tello M. , Cazares J. ,
  • 61', Juambeltz M. , Ledesma A. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Morales J. ,
  • 73', Bagui Tobar D. O. , Ayovi J. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez A. , Angulo J. ,
  • 75', Barco A. 🟨,
  • 76', Quintero S. 🟨,
  • 87', Castillo Saa J. L. , Quinonez J. ,
  • 87', Espinoza T. , Jimenez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
43.1%
Draw
28.8%
Deportivo Macará
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.2% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 28.8% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Emelec - Deportivo Macará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.22)
    3.22
    (3.31)
    3.28
    (3.14)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Emelec - Deportivo Macará?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Macará will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 0.
    • Recent performances by Emelec have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Macará is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Emelec might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 3:0
    29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1
    28.02.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Macará 0:0
    09.11.2024 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1
    18.05.2024 Emelec - Deportivo Macará 0:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    03.12.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 1:1
    30.11.2025 Delfín - Emelec 0:1
    22.11.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:2
    17.11.2025 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:2
    09.11.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle11002:023
    2LDU Quito11002:113
    3Barcelona SC11001:013
    4Delfin11001:013
    5Libertad11001:013
    6Aucas10101:101
    7Mushuc Runa10101:101
    8Macara10100:001
    9Leones del Norte10100:001
    10U. Catolica00000:000
    11Emelec00000:000
    12Orense10011:2-10
    13Dep. Cuenca10010:1-10
    14Tecnico U10010:1-10
    15Manta10010:1-10
    16Guayaquil City10010:2-20

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