Result
1:1
29/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (301/392) | 75% (230/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (301/392) | 75% (230/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (86/136) | 68% (67/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Castelli F. ⚽, Cevallos J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 47', Bagui Tobar D. O. 🟨,
- 59', Cevallos J. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
- 60', Quintero S. 🟨,
- 63', Tello M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 65', Cueva C. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
- 65', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Paz F. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez P. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 84', Ledesma A. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 90+2', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
41.3% | Draw
30.1% | Emelec
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Deportivo Macará - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.39) |
3.06 ↓
(3.15) |
3.22 ↑
(3) |
8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Macará will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Emelec?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Macará?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Emelec were as follows:
28.02.2025
Emelec
-
Deportivo Macará
0:0
09.11.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Emelec
1:1
18.05.2024
Emelec
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
