Result
5:0
10/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 36
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (389/438) | 83% (301/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.86 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (389/438) | 83% (301/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 78% (31/40) | 61% (31/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (107/135) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 3.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, van der Leij T. ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 0, Kuster H. ⚽, Bakboord N. (A),
- 45+1', Mukeh J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Mukeh J. ↓, Sondergaard P. ↑,
- 51', Besuijen V. 🟨,
- 56', Nunumete D. 🟨,
- 58', Roemeratoe G. 🟨,
- 59', Besuijen V. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
- 68', Larsen L. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
- 68', Nunumete D. ↓, Otten D. ↑,
- 69', Bolk G. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 0, Familia-Castillo J. ⚽,
- 74', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 74', Wouters L. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
- 74', Cleonise D. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 75', Emeran N. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
- 81', van der Veen Y. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
- 85', Kuster H. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 0, Fage R. ⚽,
- 90+3', 5 - 0, van der Leij T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
57.8% | Draw
21.9% | Emmen
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waalwijk's performance.Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waalwijk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+4%)
Waalwijk - Emmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.82) |
4.28 ↑
(3.85) |
4.57 ↑
(3.67) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Emmen?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Emmen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Waalwijk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
Uneken J.
(Yellow Cards)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Emmen: Claridge A.
(Knee Injury)
Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Geypens T.
(Inactive)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
Quispel F.
(Red Card)
Rhein T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Emmen?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Waalwijk?
Emmen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Emmen were as follows:
02.11.2025
Emmen
-
Waalwijk
2:2
28.01.2023
Waalwijk
-
Emmen
2:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
