Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 35
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.53	2.81
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
5	14
Shots on target
3	7
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
0	1
Passes
79% (280/356)	85% (430/503)
Yellow cards
4	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.53	2.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	2.57
Total shots
5	14
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
0	3
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
2	11
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	5
Corner kicks
0	1
Touches in opposition box
12	25
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
12	18
Passes
79% (280/356)	85% (430/503)
Long passes
25% (10/40)	57% (32/56)
Passes in final third
61% (43/71)	68% (79/116)
Crosses
0% (0/10)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	1.93
Throw ins
26	29
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
63% (12/19)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
48	46
Clearances
28	20
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.57	0.55
Goals prevented
0.57	-1.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, Uneken J. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Cleonise D. ⚽, Uneken J. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Daneels L. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Makanza N. ⚽, Zimuangana O. (A),
45+1', Dizdarevic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Uneken J. 🟨,
56', Daneels L. 🟨,
59', Geerts J. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
65', Zimuangana O. 🟨,
67', Zimuangana O. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
73', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
73', Cleonise D. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
73', Held N. ↓, Bakboord N. ↑,
76', Bakboord N. 🟨,
77', Makanza N. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
77', Dekkers S. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
78', Poll T. 🟨,
83', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
90+4', van der Veen Y. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
23.6%

Draw
24%

Waalwijk
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.3%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waalwijk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Helmond Sport - Waalwijk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.28)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	6.8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Waalwijk?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 31% – 73.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
Helmond Sport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Waalwijk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Waalwijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Helmond Sport: Absalem A. (Yellow Cards) Koglin B. (Yellow Cards) Semic L. (Finger Injury)
There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Waalwijk?

Helmond Sport has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Helmond Sport?

Waalwijk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Waalwijk were as follows:

15.08.2025 Waalwijk - Helmond Sport 1:1

Latest results of Helmond Sport

03.04.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 2:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Roda - Helmond Sport 1:1 ✺

16.03.2026 Helmond Sport - Cambuur 0:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Jong Utrecht - Helmond Sport 1:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Helmond Sport - FC Oss 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Waalwijk

03.04.2026 MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk 1:3 ✺

21.03.2026 Waalwijk - Den Bosch 2:3 ✺

17.03.2026 Almere City - Waalwijk 2:2 ✺

13.03.2026 Waalwijk - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1 ✺

06.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk 0:3 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	36	27	2	7	82:35	47	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	Willem II	36	18	8	10	54:41	13	62
4	De Graafschap	36	17	9	10	71:56	15	60
5	Jong PSV	36	17	5	14	65:59	6	56
6	Almere City	36	17	4	15	73:59	14	55
7	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
8	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	36	12	11	13	46:50	-4	47
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Vitesse	36	15	10	11	63:53	10	43
13	Venlo	36	12	6	18	47:55	-8	42
14	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
15	Jong Utrecht	35	10	9	16	52:61	-9	39
16	Oss	36	9	11	16	48:62	-14	38
17	Jong AZ	36	11	4	21	59:73	-14	37
18	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
19	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
20	Jong Ajax	36	8	8	20	49:71	-22	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie