Result
3:0
23/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/488) | 81% (326/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/488) | 81% (326/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (65/89) | 61% (63/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Illanes J. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
- 36', Nasti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Elia S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 46', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Zanon S. ⚽,
- 64', Rubino T. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 64', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
- 67', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 69', Oliana F. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
- 71', Ghion A. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 71', Moruzzi B. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 0, Abiuso F. ⚽, Schiavi N. (A),
- 78', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 80', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 80', Hasa L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
39.6% | Draw
30.2% | Empoli
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Carrarese - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.35) |
3.1 ↓
(3.16) |
3.11 ↑
(2.93) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Carrarese (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
- Carrarese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Carrarese might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Imperiale M.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Empoli: Indragoli G.
(Inactive)
Konate I.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
Saporiti E.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Empoli?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Carrarese?
Empoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Empoli were as follows:
28.09.2025
Empoli
-
Carrarese
2:2
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
