Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (313/384) | 77% (278/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (313/384) | 77% (278/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 59% (60/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Zuelli E. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Zanon S. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
- 19', Pagliuca G. 🟨,
- 33', Ghion A. 🟨,
- 40', Carboni F. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Bozhanaj K. 🟨,
- 56', Sekulov N. 🟨,
- 59', Carboni F. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 62', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
- 63', Sekulov N. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 70', Calabrese N. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
- 71', Saporiti E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 71', Yepes G. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 71', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Ceesay J. ⚽, Ignacchiti L. (A),
- 82', Guarino G. ↓, Curto M. ↑,
- 83', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 83', Oliana F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Finotto M. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yck69tm8
Chances of winning
Empoli
55% | Draw
31.9% | Carrarese
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Empoli's performance.Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carrarese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Empoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Empoli - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.08) |
3.66 ↑
(3.33) |
10.07 ↑
(3.48) |
-13.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carrarese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Carrarese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Empoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Degli Innocenti D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Nasti M.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Belloni N.
(Inactive)
Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Carrarese?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Empoli?
Carrarese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Carrarese were as follows:
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
