Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Rivera H. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (192/274) | 75% (221/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (192/274) | 75% (221/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (39/93) | 64% (76/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Sambueza F. ⚽, Duarte B. (A),
- 16', 0 - 2, Pons L. (Pen),
- 22', Henao C. 🟨,
- 22', Soto T. 🟨,
- 43', Uribe N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Palacio J. ↓, Aristizabal J. ↑,
- 46', Uribe N. ↓, Cuervo S. ↑,
- 46', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 48', Agron B. 🟨,
- 49', Quejada J. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Garces J. (Pen),
- 63', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 69', Soto T. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 71', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 71', Londono K. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 72', Duarte B. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 77', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 80', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
- 85', Garces J. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
- 88', Cuervo S. 🟨,
- 90', Flores L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pons L. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ytbrm97f
Chances of winning
Envigado
21% | Draw
29.9% | Atlético Bucaramanga
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(3.55) |
2.8 ↓
(3.35) |
1.73 ↓
(1.96) |
18.8%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Envigado has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Envigado?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
17.04.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Envigado
1:0
05.10.2024
Envigado
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
24.03.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Envigado
3:1
14.07.2023
Envigado
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:3
24.01.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Envigado
0:0
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Junior | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Alianza | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | U. Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 17 | Envigado | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Chico | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 12 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
