Envigado vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
Referee: Rivera H. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	2.00
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
70% (192/274)	75% (221/293)
Yellow Cards
6	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	1.58
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
13	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
17	19
Passes
70% (192/274)	75% (221/293)
Long passes
48% (29/60)	36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
42% (39/93)	64% (76/118)
Crosses
57% (8/14)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	0.82
Throw-ins
27	18
Fouls
19	17
Tackles
67% (4/6)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
32	35
Clearances
20	16
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.58	0.74
Goals prevented
-0.42	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Sambueza F. ⚽, Duarte B. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Pons L. (Pen),
22', Henao C. 🟨,
22', Soto T. 🟨,
43', Uribe N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Palacio J. ↓, Aristizabal J. ↑,
46', Uribe N. ↓, Cuervo S. ↑,
46', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
48', Agron B. 🟨,
49', Quejada J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Garces J. (Pen),
63', Lopez E. 🟨,
69', Soto T. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
71', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
71', Londono K. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
72', Duarte B. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
77', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
80', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
85', Garces J. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
88', Cuervo S. 🟨,
90', Flores L. 🟨,
90+3', Pons L. ↓, Medina G. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ytbrm97f

Chances of winning

Envigado
21%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético Bucaramanga
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.55)	2.8 ↓ (3.35)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)	18.8% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 46.4% – 99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Envigado has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Envigado?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:

17.04.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado 1:0

05.10.2024 Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0

24.03.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado 3:1

14.07.2023 Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:3

24.01.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado 0:0

Latest results of Envigado

28.09.2025 América de Cali - Envigado 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Envigado - Alianza Valledupar 0:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Millonarios - Envigado 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Once Caldas - Envigado 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

26.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

09.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	17	10	4	3	29:13	16	34
2	Ind. Medellin	16	9	4	3	34:22	12	31
3	Junior	17	9	4	4	31:21	10	31
4	Fortaleza	17	8	7	2	23:16	7	31
5	Deportes Tolima	17	9	2	6	22:15	7	29
6	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
7	Llaneros	17	7	4	6	16:16	0	25
8	Aguilas	17	6	6	5	26:23	3	24
9	America De Cali	17	6	5	6	18:16	2	23
10	Alianza	17	6	5	6	21:21	0	23
11	Santa Fe	17	5	7	5	17:16	1	22
12	Once Caldas	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
13	Millonarios	17	6	3	8	20:24	-4	21
14	Dep. Cali	17	5	5	7	21:25	-4	20
15	Pereira	17	4	6	7	18:24	-6	18
16	U. Magdalena	17	5	3	9	20:27	-7	18
17	Envigado	17	3	7	7	14:20	-6	16
18	Chico	17	3	7	7	13:23	-10	16
19	Dep. Pasto	17	2	7	8	19:27	-8	13
20	La Equidad	17	2	5	10	9:26	-17	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )