Result
0:0
17/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (400/507) | 71% (214/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (400/507) | 71% (214/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (110/165) | 39% (22/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Beyaz O. 🟨,
- 61', Beyaz O. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
- 61', Jefferson ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
- 62', Hostikka S. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
- 74', Isciler B. 🟨,
- 76', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 76', Jack R. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
- 81', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 82', Bars E. ↓, Bilal H. ↑,
- 84', Okyar M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Destici S. ↓, Cavusoglu M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erokspor
52.8% | Draw
25.3% | Vanspor
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Erokspor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.8) |
3.67 ↑
(3.43) |
4.25 ↑
(4.04) |
8.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Vanspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 10).
- Erokspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vanspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Erokspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Gedik E.
(Suspended)
Kahveci M.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Genc F. C.
(Suspended)
Traore A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vanspor: Xesc
(Hernia)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Vanspor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Erokspor?
Vanspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Vanspor were as follows:
17.08.2025
Vanspor
-
Erokspor
1:0
25.02.2024
Erokspor
-
Vanspor
2:0
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -51 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
