Energie Cottbus vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 6
  • Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
usaUsaESPN 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
99
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
99
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
129
Fouls
811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Hannemann M. , Cigerci T. (A),
  • 12', Pelivan D. 🟨,
  • 14', Malone R. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Guttau J. , Stefaniak M. (A),
  • 24', Majetschak E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Boziaris J. , Michelbrink L. ,
  • 58', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 62', Thiele T. , Engelhardt E. ,
  • 62', Butler J. , Tattermusch T. ,
  • 66', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Cigerci T. (Pen),
  • 68', Hannemann M. , Lucoqui A. ,
  • 72', Stefaniak M. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 72', Ehlers J. , Clausen M. ,
  • 73', Fabisch J. , Uhlmann E. ,
  • 79', Schmid M. , Simnica L. ,
  • 79', Majetschak E. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 90+4', Cigerci T. , Juckel J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Energie Cottbus
54.3%
Draw
23.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 24.4% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 23.5% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.82)
    4.19
    (3.78)
    4.58
    (3.72)
    2.6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cottbus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Energie Cottbus will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 2.
    • Cottbus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aue's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cottbus might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cottbus won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    22.10.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 1:3
    10.01.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 3:1
    Latest results of Energie Cottbus
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg972020:71323
    2Saarbrucken953118:11718
    3Cottbus952221:12917
    4VfL Osnabruck944111:5616
    5RW Essen943219:17215
    6Hoffenheim II942319:14514
    7Viktoria Koln942312:9314
    8Mannheim941417:14313
    9Ulm941416:14213
    10Wehen934213:11213
    11Verl934217:16113
    12Munich 1860933314:16-212
    13Stuttgart II93339:14-512
    14Alemannia Aachen931515:17-210
    15Hansa Rostock92436:10-410
    16Aue93158:14-610
    17Ingolstadt915315:1418
    18Regensburg92168:15-77
    19TSV Havelse904510:19-94
    20Schweinfurt91086:25-193

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          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation