Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 25
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, RBB TV, tv.dfb.de
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
36
Corner kicks
310
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
415
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
19
Corner kicks
310
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1219
Throw ins
2119
Fouls
1711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Bar M. , Clausen M. (A),
  • 7', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Manu K. S. , Michelbrink L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Michelbrink L. , Cigerci T. ,
  • 60', Hannemann M. , Moustfa C. Y. ,
  • 69', Guttau J. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 80', Pelivan D. , Butler J. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Borgmann A. , Cigerci T. (A),
  • 88', Clausen M. , Schmid M. ,
  • 89', Collins J. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 89', Cigerci T. , Cvjetinovic M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
31.3%
Draw
25.7%
Energie Cottbus
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 25.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 24.6% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.82)
    3.61
    (3.63)
    2.14
    (2.24)
    8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cottbus will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cottbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cottbus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1
    29.03.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    22.10.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 1:3
    10.01.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 3:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Energie Cottbus
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck30187550:262461
    2RW Essen301510561:491255
    3Verl30159670:412954
    4Duisburg30159654:411354
    5Cottbus30159655:441154
    6Hansa Rostock301411553:322153
    7Munich 186030147946:39749
    8Wehen301461042:33948
    9Mannheim301431349:54-545
    10Alemannia Aachen301351253:51244
    11Ingolstadt3010101050:41940
    12Regensburg301161342:45-339
    13Viktoria Koln301151441:41038
    14Stuttgart II301151436:49-1338
    15Hoffenheim II301051553:54-135
    16Saarbrucken307121140:46-633
    17Ulm30741939:62-2325
    18Aue30591634:54-2024
    19TSV Havelse30581743:69-2623
    20Schweinfurt30522329:69-4017

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation