Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 6
- Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 Usa | ESPN 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Hannemann M. ⚽, Cigerci T. (A),
- 12', Pelivan D. 🟨,
- 14', Malone R. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Guttau J. ⚽, Stefaniak M. (A),
- 24', Majetschak E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Boziaris J. ↓, Michelbrink L. ↑,
- 58', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 62', Thiele T. ↓, Engelhardt E. ↑,
- 62', Butler J. ↓, Tattermusch T. ↑,
- 66', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Cigerci T. (Pen),
- 68', Hannemann M. ↓, Lucoqui A. ↑,
- 72', Stefaniak M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 72', Ehlers J. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 73', Fabisch J. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
- 79', Schmid M. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 79', Majetschak E. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
- 90+4', Cigerci T. ↓, Juckel J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Energie Cottbus
54.3% | Draw
23.5% | Erzgebirge Aue
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.82) |
4.19 ↑
(3.78) |
4.58 ↑
(3.72) |
2.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cottbus (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Energie Cottbus will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 2.
- Cottbus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aue's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cottbus might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cottbus won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Energie Cottbus won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Energie Cottbus has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Energie Cottbus?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
29.03.2025
Energie Cottbus
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
22.10.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Energie Cottbus
1:3
10.01.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Energie Cottbus
3:1
Latest results of Energie Cottbus
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Duisburg | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:15 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Saarbrucken | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | VfL Osnabruck | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Verl | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:19 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | RW Essen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Stuttgart II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim II | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Viktoria Koln | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Wehen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Munich 1860 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 | Hansa Rostock | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Ulm | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Regensburg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Aue | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Alemannia Aachen | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 10 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7:30 | -23 | 3 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
