Ulm 1846 vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
2:2
30/03/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
96
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
21
Blocked Shots
10
Free Kicks
1219
Corner Kicks
45
Offsides
73
Throw-ins
2227
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
02
Attacks
5760
Dangerous Attacks
4243

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Burger K. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Brandt M. , Scienza L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Danhof T. , Tashchy B. (A),
  • 71', Brandt M. , Ludwig A. ,
  • 71', Higl F. , Kastanaras T. ,
  • 75', Meuer S. , Bar M. ,
  • 80', Jakob K. 🟨,
  • 81', Scienza L. , Roser L. ,
  • 81', Chessa D. , Jann N. ,
  • 84', Barylla A. , Seitz S. ,
  • 84', Tashchy B. , Schwirten J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Bar M. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Kastanaras T. ,

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
51.1%
Draw
26.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.5% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 24.6% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.81)
    3.58
    (3.67)
    4.13
    (4.14)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).
    • Ulm is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Aue is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ulm is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ulm won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ulm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    22.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 1:2
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    16.03.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Ulm 1846 0:0
    10.03.2024 Ulm 1846 - Sandhausen 2:0
    02.03.2024 1860 München - Ulm 1846 0:1
    24.02.2024 Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt 0:0
    17.02.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 0:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RW Essen00000:000
    2Verl00000:000
    3Regensburg00000:000
    4Stuttgart II00000:000
    5Ingolstadt00000:000
    6TSV Havelse00000:000
    7Cottbus00000:000
    8Hansa Rostock00000:000
    9Duisburg00000:000
    10Alemannia Aachen00000:000
    11Wehen00000:000
    12Munich 186000000:000
    13VfL Osnabruck00000:000
    14Aue00000:000
    15Mannheim00000:000
    16Ulm00000:000
    17Saarbrucken00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Hoffenheim II00000:000
    20Viktoria Koln00000:000

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation