Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Germany | DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
- 17', Seegert M. 🟨,
- 23', Kolle N. 🟨,
- 37', Brandt M. 🟨,
- 41', Mazagg L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 1, Seegert M. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 2, Pepic M. ⚽,
- 65', Malone R. 🟥,
- 67', Fallmann P. ↓, Barylla A. ↑,
- 67', Ehlers J. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
- 77', Roser L. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
- 77', El-Zein A. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
- 77', Seegert M. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
- 80', Bar M. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
- 80', Tashchy B. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 87', Pepic M. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
- 88', Weinhauer E. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 3, Loder E. ⚽, Chessa D. (A),
- 90+2', Chessa D. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
44% | Draw
26.4% | Ulm 1846
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.16) |
3.53 ↓
(3.57) |
3.16 ↑
(2.99) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Aue (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzgebirge Aue will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aue might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Ulm 1846?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Ulm 1846 has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
09.08.2025
Ulm 1846
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
30.03.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:2
22.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ulm 1846
1:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Verl | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 61:40 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Munich 1860 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Wehen | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 8 | RW Essen | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 50:44 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43:47 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 45:36 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51:48 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Alemannia Aachen | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 32 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Aue | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:45 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:55 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36:56 | -20 | 20 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 26 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 23:61 | -38 | 11 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
