Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Germany | DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
- 17', Seegert M. 🟨,
- 23', Kolle N. 🟨,
- 37', Brandt M. 🟨,
- 41', Mazagg L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 1, Seegert M. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 2, Pepic M. ⚽,
- 65', Malone R. 🟥,
- 67', Fallmann P. ↓, Barylla A. ↑,
- 67', Ehlers J. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
- 77', Roser L. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
- 77', El-Zein A. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
- 77', Seegert M. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
- 80', Bar M. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
- 80', Tashchy B. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 87', Pepic M. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
- 88', Weinhauer E. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 3, Loder E. ⚽, Chessa D. (A),
- 90+2', Chessa D. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
44% | Draw
26.4% | Ulm 1846
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.16) |
3.53 ↓
(3.57) |
3.16 ↑
(2.99) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Aue (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erzgebirge Aue will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aue might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Ulm 1846?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Ulm 1846 has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
09.08.2025
Ulm 1846
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
30.03.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:2
22.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ulm 1846
1:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 61 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 61:49 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Verl | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 70:41 | 29 | 54 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 54:41 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Cottbus | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 55:44 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53:32 | 21 | 53 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 46:39 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 49:54 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 50:41 | 9 | 40 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Viktoria Koln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 40:46 | -6 | 33 |
| 17 | Ulm | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 39:62 | -23 | 25 |
| 18 | Aue | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 34:54 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:69 | -26 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 30 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 29:69 | -40 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
