Result
0:0
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Sy I. (Sen)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, Supersport WWE |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SABC 1, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE |
 Tunisia | Watania 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (262/352) | 83% (364/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (262/352) | 83% (364/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 52% (33/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (77/129) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
- 46', Konate A. ↓, Jebali C. ↑,
- 49', Kekana G. 🟨,
- 56', Shalulile P. 🟨,
- 58', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
- 63', Yan Sasse ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
- 66', Arthur Sales ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
- 73', Adams J. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
- 81', Williams R. 🟨,
- 82', Ribeiro L. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
- 87', Ogbelu O. 🟨,
- 88', Tka H. ↓, Hamrouni M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Espérance ST
47.9% | Draw
29.7% | Mamelodi Sundowns
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.32) |
3.1 ↑
(2.85) |
4.14 ↑
(3.34) |
8.3%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns?
Users Predictions:
Espérance ST will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Espérance ST will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
- Espérance ST is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
- Recent matches Espérance ST is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mamelodi Sundowns is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Espérance ST could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Espérance ST is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Espérance ST won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Espérance ST won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Espérance ST has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Espérance ST?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
01.04.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Espérance ST
1:0
26.04.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Espérance ST
0:1
20.04.2024
Espérance ST
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
1:0
Latest results of Espérance ST
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Esperance Tunis | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | MC Alger | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Pyramids | FAR Rabat | 0 : 2, 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Al Ahly | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | Pyramids | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Pyramids | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
