Result
0:0
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Sy I. (Sen)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, Supersport WWE |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 3 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
South-africa | SABC 1, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE |
Tunisia | Watania 1 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.63 | 0.26 |
Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Passes |
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74% (262/352) | 83% (364/439) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.63 | 0.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.96 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
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9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 7 |
Offsides |
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6 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 11 |
Passes |
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74% (262/352) | 83% (364/439) |
Long passes |
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39% (28/72) | 52% (33/64) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (77/129) | 68% (47/69) |
Crosses |
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23% (5/22) | 0% (0/1) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.48 | 0.17 |
Fouls |
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11 | 18 |
Tackles |
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47% (8/17) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
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53 | 41 |
Clearances Total |
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16 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.45 | 0.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.45 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
- 46', Konate A. ↓, Jebali C. ↑,
- 49', Kekana G. 🟨,
- 56', Shalulile P. 🟨,
- 58', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
- 63', Yan Sasse ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
- 66', Arthur Sales ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
- 73', Adams J. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
- 81', Williams R. 🟨,
- 82', Ribeiro L. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
- 87', Ogbelu O. 🟨,
- 88', Tka H. ↓, Hamrouni M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Espérance ST 47.9% | Draw 29.7% | Mamelodi Sundowns 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.32) |
3.1 ↑ (2.85) |
4.14 ↑ (3.34) |
8.3% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns?
Users Predictions:
Espérance ST will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Espérance ST will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
- Espérance ST is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
- Recent matches Espérance ST is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mamelodi Sundowns is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Espérance ST could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Espérance ST is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Espérance ST won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Espérance ST won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Espérance ST has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Espérance ST?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
01.04.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Espérance ST
1:0
26.04.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Espérance ST
0:1
20.04.2024
Espérance ST
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
1:0
Latest results of Espérance ST
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Esperance Tunis | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
2 | Al Ahly | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
3 | MC Alger | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
4 | Pyramids | FAR Rabat | 0 : 2, 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Al Ahly | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 |
2 | Orlando Pirates | Pyramids | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Pyramids | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |