Espérance ST vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CAF Champions League Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns
Result
0:0
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Sy I. (Sen)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, Supersport WWE
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, SportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 1, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
tunisiaTunisiaWatania 1
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.26
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
74% (262/352)83% (364/439)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.45
Total shots
98
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
177
Offsides
66
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
74% (262/352)83% (364/439)
Long passes
39% (28/72)52% (33/64)
Passes in final third
60% (77/129)68% (47/69)
Crosses
23% (5/22)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.17
Fouls
1118
Tackles
47% (8/17)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5341
Clearances Total
1629
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.450.96
Goals prevented
0.450.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo Rodrigues , Jabri A. ,
  • 46', Konate A. , Jebali C. ,
  • 49', Kekana G. 🟨,
  • 56', Shalulile P. 🟨,
  • 58', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
  • 63', Yan Sasse , Mokwana E. ,
  • 66', Arthur Sales , Rayners I. ,
  • 73', Adams J. , Aubaas B. J. ,
  • 81', Williams R. 🟨,
  • 82', Ribeiro L. , Khoza M. ,
  • 87', Ogbelu O. 🟨,
  • 88', Tka H. , Hamrouni M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Espérance ST
47.9%
Draw
29.7%
Mamelodi Sundowns
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 32.4% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 33.2% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.32)
    3.1
    (2.85)
    4.14
    (3.34)
    8.3%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Users Predictions: Espérance ST will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Espérance ST will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Espérance ST is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
    • Recent matches Espérance ST is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Espérance ST could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Espérance ST is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Espérance ST won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Espérance ST won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST 1:0
    26.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST 0:1
    20.04.2024 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsEsperance Tunis0 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Al AhlyAl-Hilal Omdurman1 : 0, 1 : 0
    3MC AlgerOrlando Pirates0 : 0, 0 : 1
    4PyramidsFAR Rabat0 : 2, 4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsAl Ahly1 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Orlando PiratesPyramids2 : 3, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Mamelodi SundownsPyramids1 : 2, 1 : 1