Estepona vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Estepona - Real Jaén
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Castedo J. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Garcia P. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, M. Lopez ,

Chances of winning


Estepona
44.2%
Draw
30.6%
Real Jaén
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 29.8% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 31.3% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Estepona - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.25)
    2.98
    (3.05)
    3.6
    (3.05)
    9.9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Estepona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jaén has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Estepona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estepona might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Estepona
    28.09.2025 Xerez CD - Estepona 0:1
    14.09.2025 Minera - Estepona 1:0
    24.08.2025 Estepona - Melilla 0:2
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura541010:6413
    2Deportiva Minera531112:6610
    3Recreativo Huelva53117:4310
    4Jaen53117:5210
    5Linares52307:529
    6Puente Genil52305:329
    7La Union52304:229
    8Aguilas FC52215:418
    9UCAM Murcia51315:6-16
    10Melilla51225:505
    11Xerez CD51224:405
    12Xerez D.F.C51226:8-25
    13Antoniano51224:6-25
    14Yeclano51134:6-24
    15CD Estepona51133:5-24
    16Almeria B51041:8-73
    17Malagueno50234:7-32
    18Lorca Deportiva50233:6-32

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