Result
26/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
42.5% | Draw
28.1% | Nacional
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Estoril Praia - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.16) |
3.36 ↓
(3.38) |
3.16 ↓
(3.26) |
6.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Estoril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Estoril will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Nacional?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Estoril Praia?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Nacional were as follows:
15.02.2025
Nacional
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
15.09.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
