Result
2:2
15/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/328) | 69% (244/354) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 46% (50/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 57% (8/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 25', Paulinho Boia 🟨,
- 33', Jose Gomes ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 39', Bacher F. 🟨,
- 45+2', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Dudu (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paulinho Boia ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Daniel Penha ⚽,
- 55', Lacximicant A. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 63', Begraoui Y. ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
- 63', Xeka ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 71', Daniel Penha ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 72', Dudu ↓, Aurelio J. ↑,
- 81', Isaac 🟨,
- 83', Garcia 🟨,
- 85', Garcia Andrade F. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 90+1', Ulisses ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
- 90+2', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Bacher F. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional
42.2% | Draw
29.8% | Estoril Praia
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Nacional - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.26) |
3.14 ↓
(3.23) |
3.34 ↓
(3.41) |
6.9%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 2.5% – 64.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.
- Recent matches Nacional is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Estoril is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Joel
(Injury)
Yamada F.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Estoril Praia?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Nacional?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Estoril Praia were as follows:
15.09.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
