Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 12
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/442) | 83% (384/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/442) | 83% (384/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/77) | 72% (83/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, William Gomes ⚽,
- 12', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 35', Cathro I. 🟨,
- 38', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 42', Moura F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moura F. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
- 53', Robles J. 🟨,
- 56', Amaral P. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 56', Sanchez R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 59', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 59', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
- 66', Jandro ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 68', Samu ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
- 75', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 82', Sainz B. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Porto
79.5% | Draw
14% | Estoril Praia
6.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Porto - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.2 ↓
(1.25) |
6.85 ↑
(5.29) |
14.66 ↑
(11.65) |
4.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.75 - Porto (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
- Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estoril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Peixinho
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estoril Praia?
Porto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Porto?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Estoril Praia were as follows:
30.03.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
1:2
03.11.2024
Porto
-
Estoril Praia
4:0
30.03.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
1:0
09.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
0:4
06.12.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
3:1
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
