Porto vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 12
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
denmarkDenmarkBold+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.11
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (368/442)83% (384/463)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.22
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
83% (368/442)83% (384/463)
Long passes
49% (17/35)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
68% (52/77)72% (83/115)
Crosses
18% (2/11)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.86
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1411
Tackles
70% (19/27)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.221.33
Goals prevented
0.220.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, William Gomes ,
  • 12', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
  • 35', Cathro I. 🟨,
  • 38', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 42', Moura F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moura F. , Zaidu ,
  • 53', Robles J. 🟨,
  • 56', Amaral P. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 56', Sanchez R. , Costa G. ,
  • 59', Costa A. , Fernandes M. ,
  • 59', Mora R. , Veiga G. ,
  • 66', Jandro , Ferro ,
  • 68', Samu , de Jong L. ,
  • 75', Lacximicant A. , Marques A. ,
  • 82', Sainz B. , Eustaquio S. ,

Chances of winning


Porto
79.5%
Draw
14%
Estoril Praia
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.4% 17.6% 8%

Porto - Estoril Praia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.2
(1.25)
6.85
(5.29)
14.66
(11.65)
4.9%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.75 - Porto (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 3 - 75%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
    • Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estoril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Xeka (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Peixinho (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2
    03.11.2024 Porto - Estoril Praia 4:0
    30.03.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:0
    09.01.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 0:4
    06.12.2023 Estoril Praia - Porto 3:1
    Latest results of Porto
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0
    22.11.2025 Porto - Sintrense 3:0
    09.11.2025 Famalicão - Porto 0:1
    06.11.2025 Utrecht - Porto 1:1
    02.11.2025 Porto - Braga 2:1
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    22.11.2025 Estoril Praia - Famalicão 1:2
    07.11.2025 Estoril Praia - Arouca 4:3
    01.11.2025 Rio Ave - Estoril Praia 0:4
    26.10.2025 Estoril Praia - Nacional 1:1
    19.10.2025 Belenenses - Estoril Praia 1:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2