Porto vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 12
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
denmarkDenmarkBold+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.11
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (368/442)83% (384/463)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.22
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
83% (368/442)83% (384/463)
Long passes
49% (17/35)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
68% (52/77)72% (83/115)
Crosses
18% (2/11)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.86
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1411
Tackles
70% (19/27)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.221.33
Goals prevented
0.220.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, William Gomes ,
  • 12', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
  • 35', Cathro I. 🟨,
  • 38', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 42', Moura F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moura F. , Zaidu ,
  • 53', Robles J. 🟨,
  • 56', Amaral P. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 56', Sanchez R. , Costa G. ,
  • 59', Costa A. , Fernandes M. ,
  • 59', Mora R. , Veiga G. ,
  • 66', Jandro , Ferro ,
  • 68', Samu , de Jong L. ,
  • 75', Lacximicant A. , Marques A. ,
  • 82', Sainz B. , Eustaquio S. ,

Chances of winning


Porto
79.5%
Draw
14%
Estoril Praia
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.4% 17.6% 8%

Porto - Estoril Praia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.2
(1.25)
6.85
(5.29)
14.66
(11.65)
4.9%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.75 - Porto (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
    • Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estoril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Xeka (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Peixinho (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2
    03.11.2024 Porto - Estoril Praia 4:0
    30.03.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:0
    09.01.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 0:4
    06.12.2023 Estoril Praia - Porto 3:1
    Latest results of Porto
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0
    22.11.2025 Porto - Sintrense 3:0
    09.11.2025 Famalicão - Porto 0:1
    06.11.2025 Utrecht - Porto 1:1
    02.11.2025 Porto - Braga 2:1
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    22.11.2025 Estoril Praia - Famalicão 1:2
    07.11.2025 Estoril Praia - Arouca 4:3
    01.11.2025 Rio Ave - Estoril Praia 0:4
    26.10.2025 Estoril Praia - Nacional 1:1
    19.10.2025 Belenenses - Estoril Praia 1:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2