Result
1:2
30/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (239/309) | 85% (392/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (239/309) | 85% (392/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 62% (37/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 66% (67/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.80 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Boma K. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Begraoui Y. (Pen),
- 32', Pina W. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Samu (Pen),
- 45+4', Xeka 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Boma K. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
- 66', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 66', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia Andrade F. ↑,
- 66', Begraoui Y. ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
- 74', Amaral P. 🟨,
- 75', Perez N. 🟨,
- 76', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 77', Vieira F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 84', Amaral P. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 86', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 86', Mora R. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 90+1', Eustaquio S. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
15.5% | Draw
22.9% | Porto
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Estoril Praia - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.09 ↓
(6.1) |
4.11 ↓
(4.11) |
1.53 ↑
(1.52) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Porto?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Porto will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 59% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Porto is a favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 19:44 (average 1:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:21 (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Porto?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estoril Praia?
Porto has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Porto were as follows:
03.11.2024
Porto
-
Estoril Praia
4:0
30.03.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
1:0
09.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
0:4
06.12.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Porto
3:1
03.11.2023
Porto
-
Estoril Praia
0:1
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
