Estoril Praia vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon
Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 7
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.20
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
76% (278/365)87% (521/600)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.08
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
76% (278/365)87% (521/600)
Long passes
38% (23/60)66% (35/53)
Passes in final third
60% (53/88)74% (111/149)
Crosses
25% (2/8)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.89
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1312
Tackles
67% (10/15)76% (16/21)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.080.27
Goals prevented
0.080.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Suarez L. , Araujo M. (A),
  • 34', Sanchez R. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Morita H. , Kochorashvili G. ,
  • 48', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
  • 61', Marques A. 🟨,
  • 64', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 64', Patrick de Paula , Lominadze N. ,
  • 64', Marques A. , Lacximicant A. ,
  • 73', Vagiannidis G. , Fresneda I. ,
  • 73', Suarez L. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 74', Quenda G. , Catamo G. ,
  • 75', Amaral P. , Begraoui Y. ,
  • 75', Guitane R. , Garcia F. ,
  • 84', Goncalves P. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 85', Catamo G. 🟨,
  • 86', Begraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 89', Carvalho P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
6.2%
Draw
14%
Sporting Lisbon
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 17.2% 72.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    16.57
    (9)
    7.04
    (5.4)
    1.21
    (1.28)
    2.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 82.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.
    • Estoril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Diomande O. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Silva R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 3:1
    27.09.2024 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    11.05.2024 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:1
    05.01.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 5:1
    27.02.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 2:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto871019:11822
    2Sporting CP861120:51519
    3Benfica853013:4918
    4Gil Vicente851210:4616
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao83418:4413
    7Vitoria Guimaraes83239:12-311
    8Braga824212:8410
    9Alverca831411:12-110
    10Nacional83149:12-310
    11Arouca823310:19-99
    12Rio Ave815211:13-28
    13Santa Clara82246:10-48
    14Casa Pia82248:13-58
    15Estrela81436:8-27
    16Estoril813410:13-36
    17Tondela81254:14-105
    18AFS80175:20-151

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2