Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.21 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
76% (278/365) | 87% (521/600) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.21 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.27 | 1.08 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
76% (278/365) | 87% (521/600) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (23/60) | 66% (35/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (53/88) | 74% (111/149) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (2/8) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.15 | 0.89 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 76% (16/21) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 11 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.08 | 0.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.08 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
- 34', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 48', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
- 61', Marques A. 🟨,
- 64', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 64', Patrick de Paula ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
- 64', Marques A. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 73', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
- 73', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 74', Quenda G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 75', Amaral P. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
- 75', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 84', Goncalves P. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 85', Catamo G. 🟨,
- 86', Begraoui Y. 🟨,
- 89', Carvalho P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia 6.2% | Draw 14% | Sporting Lisbon 79.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
16.57 ↑ (9) |
7.04 ↑ (5.4) |
1.21 ↓ (1.28) |
2.9% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 82.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.
- Estoril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Catamo G.
(Muscle Injury)
Diomande O.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
Silva R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Sporting Lisbon?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Estoril Praia?
Sporting Lisbon has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
03.03.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estoril Praia
3:1
27.09.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
11.05.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:1
05.01.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estoril Praia
5:1
27.02.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2