Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
27/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 24
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.260.63
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
73
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
41
Passes
87% (456/524)87% (403/463)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.260.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.60
Total shots
148
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
125
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
169
Passes
87% (456/524)87% (403/463)
Long passes
52% (26/50)60% (18/30)
Passes in final third
75% (97/130)78% (100/129)
Crosses
21% (3/14)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.43
Throw ins
1421
Fouls
916
Tackles
78% (18/23)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5733
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.601.59
Goals prevented
0.60-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Suarez L. , Trincao (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Suarez L. , Hjulmand M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Costa G. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 46', Marques A. , Tsoungui A. ,
  • 56', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
  • 64', Carvalho J. 🟨,
  • 64', Fresneda I. 🟨,
  • 72', Luis Guilherme , Faye S. ,
  • 72', Morita H. , Simoes J. ,
  • 77', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 80', Jandro , Pizzi ,
  • 80', Guitane R. , Edwards K. ,
  • 83', Fresneda I. , Vagiannidis G. ,
  • 83', Catamo G. , Braganca D. ,
  • 83', Trincao , Santos N. ,
  • 87', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Braganca D. , Santos N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
80.4%
Draw
12.1%
Estoril Praia
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80.2% 12.8% 7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.21)
    7.87
    (7.6)
    13.01
    (13.8)
    4.8%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 67.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Sporting (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Estoril (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
    • Sporting is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estoril is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z. (Injury) Kochorashvili G. (Inactive) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Boma K. (Inactive) Israelov O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Lacximicant A. (Inactive) Lominadze N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:12. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:1
    03.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 3:1
    27.09.2024 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    11.05.2024 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:1
    05.01.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 5:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    09.02.2026 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    05.02.2026 Sporting Lisbon - AVS 3:2
    01.02.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 2:1
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto27233154:114372
    2Sporting CP26205168:155365
    3Benfica27198058:174165
    4Braga26137653:272646
    5Famalicao27136833:221145
    6Gil Vicente27119739:281142
    7Estoril271071048:44437
    8Moreirense271051231:39-835
    9Vitoria Guimaraes27951329:42-1332
    10Rio Ave27791128:46-1830
    11Alverca27781227:45-1829
    12Arouca27851434:55-2129
    13Santa Clara27771324:31-728
    14Estrela276101133:45-1228
    15Casa Pia26591226:48-2224
    16Nacional27571529:39-1022
    17Tondela26481419:39-2020
    18AFS27181818:58-4011

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2