Estoril Praia vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 7
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.20
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
76% (278/365)87% (521/600)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.211.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.08
Total shots
79
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
76% (278/365)87% (521/600)
Long passes
38% (23/60)66% (35/53)
Passes in final third
60% (53/88)74% (111/149)
Crosses
25% (2/8)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.89
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1312
Tackles
67% (10/15)76% (16/21)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
165
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.080.27
Goals prevented
0.080.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
  • 34', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
  • 48', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
  • 61', Marques A. 🟨,
  • 64', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 64', Patrick de Paula ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
  • 64', Marques A. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
  • 73', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
  • 73', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
  • 74', Quenda G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
  • 75', Amaral P. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
  • 75', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 84', Goncalves P. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
  • 85', Catamo G. 🟨,
  • 86', Begraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 89', Carvalho P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
6.2%		Draw
14%		Sporting Lisbon
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 17.2% 72.5%

Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 16.57 ↑
(9)		 7.04 ↑
(5.4)		 1.21 ↓
(1.28)		 2.9%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 82.9% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Sporting (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Sporting (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Sporting (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Sporting (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Sporting (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Sporting (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Sporting (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Sporting (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Sporting (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Sporting (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 21 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.
    • Estoril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Diomande O. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Silva R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    03.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 3:1
    27.09.2024 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    11.05.2024 Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon 0:1
    05.01.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 5:1
    27.02.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia 2:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    21.09.2025 Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia 2:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Estoril Praia - AVS 3:1 ✺
    06.09.2025 Estoril Praia - Santa Clara 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Tondela - Estoril Praia 2:2 ✺
    16.08.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    22.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense 3:0 ✺
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Kairat 4:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:4 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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