Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (278/365) | 87% (521/600) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (278/365) | 87% (521/600) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 66% (35/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (53/88) | 74% (111/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
- 34', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 48', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
- 61', Marques A. 🟨,
- 64', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 64', Patrick de Paula ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
- 64', Marques A. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 73', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
- 73', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 74', Quenda G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 75', Amaral P. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
- 75', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 84', Goncalves P. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 85', Catamo G. 🟨,
- 86', Begraoui Y. 🟨,
- 89', Carvalho P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
6.2% | Draw
14% | Sporting Lisbon
79.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
16.57 ↑
(9) |
7.04 ↑
(5.4) |
1.21 ↓
(1.28) |
2.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 82.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.
- Estoril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Jandro
(Inactive)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Catamo G.
(Muscle Injury)
Diomande O.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
Silva R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Sporting Lisbon?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Estoril Praia?
Sporting Lisbon has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
03.03.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estoril Praia
3:1
27.09.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
11.05.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:1
05.01.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estoril Praia
5:1
27.02.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
