Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/382) | 73% (212/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/382) | 73% (212/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (68/112) | 53% (46/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 43', Jovane 🟨,
- 45+3', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Jason 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Alex Pinto 🟨,
- 60', Jason ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 60', Yalcin G. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 62', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Nandin D. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
- 69', Dante A. ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 72', Ruiz A. ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
- 72', Jovane ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 75', Chico Banza 🟨,
- 78', Drame I. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
- 78', Montoia G. ↓, Lima R. ↑,
- 81', Mansilla B. (Pen),
- 83', Alex Pinto ↓, Popovic B. ↑,
- 83', Fukui T. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 86', Pedro Santos 🟨,
- 88', Ferro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca
47.4% | Draw
29.1% | Estrela da Amadora
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Arouca - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.98) |
3.24 ↓
(3.43) |
4.02 ↑
(3.84) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).
- Recent matches Arouca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Estrela is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arouca will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Simao D.
(Inactive)
Tiago Esgaio
(Injury)
- There will not play in Estrela: Lopes M.
(Injury)
Varela N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Rocha M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Mina J.
(Inactive)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Estrela da Amadora?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Arouca?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
09.12.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Arouca
2:1
05.05.2024
Arouca
-
Estrela da Amadora
0:0
28.12.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Arouca
1:4
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
