Arouca vs Estrela da Amadora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Arouca - Estrela da Amadora
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 30
  • Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.69
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
79% (300/382)73% (212/289)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.990.34
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2717
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
79% (300/382)73% (212/289)
Long passes
42% (25/59)34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
61% (68/112)53% (46/86)
Crosses
35% (6/17)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.46
Fouls
1716
Tackles
74% (14/19)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6445
Clearances Total
3433
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.341.99
Goals prevented
0.340.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Fontan J. 🟨,
  • 43', Jovane 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ruiz A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Jason 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Alex Pinto 🟨,
  • 60', Jason , Nandin D. ,
  • 60', Yalcin G. , Mansilla B. ,
  • 62', Kikas , Rodrigo Pinho ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Nandin D. , Sylla M. (A),
  • 69', Dante A. , Weverson ,
  • 72', Ruiz A. , Chico Banza ,
  • 72', Jovane , Bucca L. ,
  • 75', Chico Banza 🟨,
  • 78', Drame I. , Sousa G. ,
  • 78', Montoia G. , Lima R. ,
  • 81', Mansilla B. (Pen),
  • 83', Alex Pinto , Popovic B. ,
  • 83', Fukui T. , Loum M. ,
  • 86', Pedro Santos 🟨,
  • 88', Ferro 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
47.4%
Draw
29.1%
Estrela da Amadora
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.6% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 26.4% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Arouca - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.98)
    3.24
    (3.43)
    4.02
    (3.84)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Recent matches Arouca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Estrela is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arouca will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Simao D. (Inactive) Tiago Esgaio (Injury)
    • There will not play in Estrela: Lopes M. (Injury) Varela N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Rocha M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Estrela: Mina J. (Inactive)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Arouca 2:1
    05.05.2024 Arouca - Estrela da Amadora 0:0
    28.12.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Arouca 1:4
    Latest results of Arouca
    13.04.2025 Benfica - Arouca 2:2
    05.04.2025 Arouca - Famalicão 1:2
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    08.03.2025 AVS - Arouca 0:1
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
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