Result
4:0
25/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Benfica TV |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (407/464) | 73% (177/242) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (407/464) | 73% (177/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (126/149) | 56% (27/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Jansson K. 🟨,
- 33', Stoica I. 🟨,
- 37', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Lopes Cabral S. (A),
- 45', Aursnes F. 🟨,
- 45', Silva A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Barrenechea E. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 53', Encada J. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', Moustier T. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Lopes Cabral S. ⚽,
- 60', Prestianni G. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
- 65', Jansson K. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
- 73', Sudakov G. ↓, Prioste D. ↑,
- 73', Aursnes F. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 75', Stoica I. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 75', Antonetti L. ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 75', Meireles J. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
- 76', Moreira P. 🟨,
- 83', Pavlidis V. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 0, Cabral A. ⚽, Banjaqui D. (A),
Chances of winning
Benfica
82% | Draw
12.2% | Estrela da Amadora
5.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Benfica - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.19) |
7.85 ↑
(6.43) |
16.82 ↑
(16.55) |
5.1%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Benfica - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Estrela (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Estrela (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Estrela (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
Rios R.
(Injury)
Soares S.
(Injury)
Veloso J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Estrela: Marcus A.
(Red Card)
Ni
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 3.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Estrela da Amadora?
Benfica has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Benfica?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
16.08.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Benfica
0:1
02.02.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Benfica
2:3
23.11.2024
Benfica
-
Estrela da Amadora
7:0
24.08.2024
Benfica
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:0
29.01.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Benfica
1:4
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
