Result
0:1
13/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (430/507) | 83% (312/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (430/507) | 83% (312/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (70/106) | 78% (83/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Nunez S. 🟨,
- 64', Burgos J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
- 67', Bou W. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 71', Cabrera B. 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
- 78', Cabrera B. ↓, De Martis T. ↑,
- 78', Carrera R. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 80', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
- 80', Palacios T. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 88', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 88', Salvio E. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
- 89', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 89', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 90+2', Gaich A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
46.1% | Draw
32.1% | Lanús
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.11) |
2.93 ↓
(3.03) |
4.34 ↑
(3.59) |
5.8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
- Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lanús has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Estudiantes is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
Castro A.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Neves
(Injury)
Sosa J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelino Moreno
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Lanús?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Lanús has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús were as follows:
24.05.2024
Lanús
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:1
16.04.2024
Lanús
-
Estudiantes La Plata
1:2
27.11.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Lanús
1:1
13.02.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Lanús
0:2
10.10.2022
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Lanús
3:1
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
