Result
0:3
07/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (340/436) | 73% (212/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (340/436) | 73% (212/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/112) | 64% (65/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 22', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
- 31', 0 - 2, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Gabriel Neves (A),
- 37', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 3, Carrillo G. ⚽, Meza E. (A),
- 40', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
- 43', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez N. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 46', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 46', Montes G. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
- 46', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 53', Medina C. 🟨,
- 60', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 66', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
- 74', Carrillo G. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
- 76', Calderon F. 🟨,
- 82', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 83', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
- 83', Meza E. ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
- 85', Burgos J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
35.2% | Draw
33% | Estudiantes La Plata
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.36) |
2.86 ↓
(3.08) |
3 ↓
(3.23) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Universidad de Chile is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S.
(Muscle Injury)
Castro A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Universidad de Chile has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Universidad de Chile?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
08.04.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
