Result
0:3
07/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 1.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
78% (340/436) | 73% (212/290) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 1.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.39 | 2.55 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
78% (340/436) | 73% (212/290) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (25/48) | 44% (28/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (67/112) | 64% (65/102) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (5/30) | 33% (5/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 53% (10/19) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.55 | 0.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.45 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 22', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
- 31', 0 - 2, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Gabriel Neves (A),
- 37', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 3, Carrillo G. ⚽, Meza E. (A),
- 40', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
- 43', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez N. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 46', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 46', Montes G. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
- 46', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 53', Medina C. 🟨,
- 60', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 66', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
- 74', Carrillo G. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
- 76', Calderon F. 🟨,
- 82', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 83', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
- 83', Meza E. ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
- 85', Burgos J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile 35.2% | Draw 33% | Estudiantes La Plata 31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.66 ↑ (2.36) |
2.86 ↓ (3.08) |
3 ↓ (3.23) |
5.9% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Universidad de Chile is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S.
(Muscle Injury)
Castro A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Universidad de Chile has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Universidad de Chile?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
08.04.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)