Gorilla vs Etincelles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Rwanda Premier League Gorilla - Etincelles
Result
2:1
12/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Nduwimana F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Nsanzimfura K. ,

Chances of winning


Gorilla
39.6%
Draw
33.7%
Etincelles
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 33% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 32.7% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Gorilla - Etincelles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.01)
    2.69
    (2.71)
    3.4
    (3.99)
    10.3%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Gorilla - Etincelles?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gorilla (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 3.
    • Gorilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Etincelles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Etincelles has had a series of home games.
    • Gorilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorilla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorilla - Etincelles were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Etincelles - Gorilla 0:1
    13.01.2024 Gorilla - Etincelles 2:1
    20.08.2023 Etincelles - Gorilla 1:1
    15.04.2023 Gorilla - Etincelles 4:1
    04.12.2022 Etincelles - Gorilla 1:0
    Latest results of Gorilla
    02.05.2025 Gorilla - Bugesera 0:1
    19.04.2025 Marines - Gorilla 2:1
    05.04.2025 Amagaju - Gorilla 1:0
    29.03.2025 Rutsiro - Gorilla 1:0
    14.03.2025 Gorilla - Muhazi United 2:0
    Latest results of Etincelles
    01.05.2025 Etincelles - Musanze 3:0
    27.04.2025 Etincelles - Rayon Sports 1:2
    20.04.2025 APR - Etincelles 2:2
    06.04.2025 Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports 0:2
    30.03.2025 Etincelles - Marines 0:0
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APR30207346:172967
    2Rayon Sport30189343:172663
    3AS Kigali30147932:27549
    4Police301112738:241445
    5Mukura Victory Sports301011923:27-441
    6Bugesera3010101037:30740
    7Gorilla301171227:25240
    8Gasogi United3010101029:29040
    9Rutsiro309111030:35-538
    10Kiyovu301141532:51-1937
    11Amagaju301061429:38-936
    12Etincelles307131025:27-234
    13Musanze307131026:31-534
    14Marines30971437:46-934
    15Muhazi United30791422:29-730
    16Vision30561923:46-2321

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