Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (388/491) | 79% (345/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (388/491) | 79% (345/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (34/80) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (85/115) | 60% (86/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Naujoks N. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Robbemond R. ⚽,
- 41', van Aken J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Berkhout J. 🟨,
- 61', Naujoks N. ↓, Tielemans M. ↑,
- 62', Schouten L. ↓, van Duijl B. ↑,
- 68', Toppenberg K. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
- 68', Berkhout J. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 72', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
- 73', Bergraaf J. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
- 73', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
- 73', Fini S. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
- 78', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
- 81', Warmerdam D. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
- 84', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Splinter I. ↑,
- 86', Robbemond R. ↓, Lenssen L. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, van Duijn S. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mv6hk64r
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
23.8% | Draw
21.3% | Excelsior
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↓
(4.79) |
4.39 ↓
(4.47) |
1.7 ↑
(1.58) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- Excelsior is Qualified for Eredivisie
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
- Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Excelsior is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Excelsior is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Esajas J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.7:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Excelsior?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior were as follows:
27.09.2024
Excelsior
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:2
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Jong PSV | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Roda | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Oss | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Emmen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Venlo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Helmond | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Almere City | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
