Result
0:2
13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 36
- Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (413/468) | 84% (344/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (413/468) | 84% (344/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (45/66) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (121/153) | 77% (85/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 48% (14/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Jones A. ⚽, Bassey E. (A),
- 41', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bawuah J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 46', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 46', Toppenberg K. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 55', Bassey E. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Jones A. ⚽, Bahaty M. (A),
- 60', Bassey E. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
- 62', Esajas J. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
- 62', Inge K. ↓, van Ouytsel K. ↑,
- 72', Bahaty M. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
- 72', Koller J. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 79', Budko B. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
- 85', Kuhn W. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
42.8% | Draw
24% | Jong PSV
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong PSV's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong PSV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.74) |
3.92 ↓
(4.4) |
2.86 ↓
(3.72) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC, 1st Half - Jong PSV (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.
- Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong PSV is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Jong AZ is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kwakman D.
(Knee Injury)
Robbemond R.
(Red Card)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Jong PSV?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Jong PSV has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV were as follows:
29.08.2025
Jong PSV
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
07.04.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong PSV
2:2
25.11.2024
Jong PSV
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
08.03.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong PSV
4:1
24.11.2023
Jong PSV
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:2
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
