AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 23
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.48
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
74% (261/355)75% (325/431)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.67
Total shots
119
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
412
Passes
74% (261/355)75% (325/431)
Long passes
31% (21/67)37% (30/82)
Passes in final third
56% (61/109)61% (91/149)
Crosses
27% (7/26)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.53
Throw-ins
3420
Fouls
124
Tackles
65% (11/17)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4650
Clearances
3146
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.670.07
Goals prevented
-0.330.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Sasu A. , Browne M. ,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Wareham J. , Niskanen I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Asiimwe N. , Hackford A. ,
  • 62', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 64', Stevens M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 64', Maycock C. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 65', Cole R. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 65', Higgins A. , Mendes C. ,
  • 68', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
  • 76', Doyle-Hayes J. , Francis E. ,
  • 87', Brierley E. , Swinkels S. ,
  • 88', Wareham J. , Cox S. ,
  • 88', Smith A. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 90+1', Whitworth J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Seddon S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Aitchison J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Bishop N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
38.6%
Draw
30.3%
Exeter City
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 28.9% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 28.6% 30.9%

AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.27)
3.08
(3.18)
3
(3)
7.1%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 3 - 50%). Exeter (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Magennis J. (Inactive) Rydel R. (Inactive) Turns E. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S. (Inactive) Higgins A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff30196555:292663
    2Lincoln30187552:302261
    3Bolton311510641:291255
    4Stockport County30158742:35753
    5Huddersfield311471053:421149
    6Bradford City29147837:33449
    7Luton301361140:35545
    8Peterborough311421545:41444
    9Wycombe301110940:31943
    10Reading301110943:39443
    11Stevenage29119931:30142
    12Mansfield291091037:32539
    13Exeter291151333:30338
    14AFC Wimbledon291151332:38-638
    15Barnsley271071044:46-237
    16Plymouth301141537:46-937
    17Blackpool30961537:44-733
    18Leyton Orient30961540:49-933
    19Northampton30961529:39-1033
    20Doncaster30961533:50-1733
    21Burton30881433:45-1232
    22Wigan307101331:42-1131
    23Rotherham29871431:43-1231
    24Port Vale28571622:40-1822

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two