AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 23
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.48
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
74% (261/355)75% (325/431)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.67
Total shots
119
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
412
Passes
74% (261/355)75% (325/431)
Long passes
31% (21/67)37% (30/82)
Passes in final third
56% (61/109)61% (91/149)
Crosses
27% (7/26)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.53
Throw-ins
3420
Fouls
124
Tackles
65% (11/17)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4650
Clearances
3146
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.670.07
Goals prevented
-0.330.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Sasu A. , Browne M. ,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Wareham J. , Niskanen I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Asiimwe N. , Hackford A. ,
  • 62', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 64', Stevens M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 64', Maycock C. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 65', Cole R. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 65', Higgins A. , Mendes C. ,
  • 68', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
  • 76', Doyle-Hayes J. , Francis E. ,
  • 87', Brierley E. , Swinkels S. ,
  • 88', Wareham J. , Cox S. ,
  • 88', Smith A. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 90+1', Whitworth J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Seddon S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Aitchison J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Bishop N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
38.6%
Draw
30.3%
Exeter City
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 28.9% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 28.6% 30.9%

AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.27)
3.08
(3.18)
3
(3)
7.1%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 50%). Exeter (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Magennis J. (Inactive) Rydel R. (Inactive) Turns E. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S. (Inactive) Higgins A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff23153541:241748
    2Lincoln24136535:241145
    3Bradford City23127432:24843
    4Stockport County23116633:29439
    5Huddersfield24115843:321138
    6Bolton23108531:22938
    7Stevenage22107526:18837
    8Luton24105933:29435
    9Reading2388731:28332
    10Mansfield2395931:28332
    11Peterborough231021128:28032
    12AFC Wimbledon23941027:31-431
    13Wycombe2479830:28230
    14Wigan2379726:26030
    15Exeter23921223:21229
    16Barnsley2185833:33029
    17Blackpool24851130:35-529
    18Leyton Orient24841235:41-628
    19Northampton23841122:28-628
    20Burton23761023:31-827
    21Plymouth24831329:39-1027
    22Rotherham24661222:35-1324
    23Doncaster24651324:41-1723
    24Port Vale23461318:31-1318

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two