Result
1:0
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 19
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (393/500) | 64% (169/265) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (393/500) | 64% (169/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/80) | 26% (19/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (89/153) | 41% (37/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Oakes L. ↓, Brierley E. ↑,
- 68', Yfeko J. 🟨,
- 70', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 71', Yfeko J. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
- 71', Higgins A. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 76', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 77', Seddon S. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, McMillan J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 82', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 85', Harbottle R. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 85', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
45.7% | Draw
28.3% | AFC Wimbledon
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.32) |
3.3 ↑
(3.2) |
3.58 ↑
(2.75) |
6.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Johnson R.
(Yellow Cards)
Stevens M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against AFC Wimbledon?
Exeter City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Exeter City?
AFC Wimbledon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Bolton | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 31 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Luton | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 25 |
| 11 | Wigan | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 25 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 24 |
| 14 | Northampton | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 17 | Reading | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 22 |
| 18 | Burton | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 22 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Exeter | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
