Result
1:0
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 22
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/535) | 76% (265/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/535) | 76% (265/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (129/164) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Robertson A. ⚽, Lawlor D. (A),
- 56', Davies I. 🟨,
- 57', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 65', Higgins A. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 79', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 79', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 80', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 80', Brierley E. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
- 80', Aitchison J. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 80', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 82', Oakes L. 🟨,
- 87', Bagan J. 🟨,
- 89', Chambers C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ashford C. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
58.9% | Draw
22.8% | Exeter City
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cardiff City - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.61) |
4.14 ↑
(4.02) |
5.06 ↑
(5.02) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Exeter City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Cardiff (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 20).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Personal Reasons)
Colwill R.
(Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Osho G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Magennis J.
(Inactive)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Exeter City?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Cardiff City?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Exeter City were as follows:
16.09.2025
Exeter City
-
Cardiff City
0:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
