Exeter City vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.95
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
412
Passes
74% (197/268)87% (519/598)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.87
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
412
Touches in opposition box
1838
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
616
Passes
74% (197/268)87% (519/598)
Long passes
47% (27/58)60% (34/57)
Passes in final third
55% (38/69)71% (122/171)
Crosses
25% (3/12)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.63
Throw-ins
2820
Fouls
166
Tackles
74% (17/23)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
3715
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.870.64
Goals prevented
0.870.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Kellyman O. , Perrett T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Davies I. , Ashford C. ,
  • 46', Lawlor D. , Fish W. ,
  • 46', Cole R. , Brierley E. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Robinson C. , Ashford C. (A),
  • 59', Yfeko J. , Woodhouse L. ,
  • 59', Andrew D. , Rydel R. ,
  • 72', Osho G. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 74', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 74', McMillan J. , Cox S. ,
  • 74', Wilson K. , Oluwabori A. ,
  • 78', Robinson C. , Willock C. ,
  • 86', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
  • 89', Sweeney P. 🟨,
  • 89', Ashford C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Turnbull D. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Ashford C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Exeter City
23.3%
Draw
24.9%
Cardiff City
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 25.7% 49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 24.9% 51%

Exeter City - Cardiff City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4
(3.68)
3.69
(3.55)
1.78
(1.85)
8.4%
(9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Cardiff City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cardiff is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Draw
    Play Offs

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    1/8-finals
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