Result
0:4
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 37
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 3.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/307) | 86% (478/558) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 3.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 4.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/307) | 86% (478/558) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 54% (32/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (57/105) | 80% (152/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.33 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 31', 0 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Colwill R. ⚽, Ashford C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Andrew D. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
- 62', Magennis J. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 62', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 3, Robertson A. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
- 71', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 71', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 71', Higgins A. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 75', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 75', Colwill R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 82', Wareham J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 4, Robinson C. ⚽, Colwill J. (A),
- 89', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
21.5% | Draw
24.4% | Cardiff City
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Exeter City - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.33 ↑
(3.82) |
3.86 ↑
(3.52) |
1.75 ↓
(1.85) |
6.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Exeter has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Cardiff has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Inactive)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Doyle-Hayes J.
(Inactive)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Cardiff City?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Exeter City?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Cardiff City were as follows:
26.12.2025
Cardiff City
-
Exeter City
1:0
16.09.2025
Exeter City
-
Cardiff City
0:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
