Exeter City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Exeter City - Mansfield Town
Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.02
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
81% (474/586)77% (296/384)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.992.04
Total shots
57
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (474/586)77% (296/384)
Long passes
31% (26/85)33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
50% (66/133)51% (46/91)
Crosses
9% (2/23)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.81
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
119
Tackles
75% (9/12)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
2248
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.041.99
Goals prevented
0.040.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Blake-Tracy F. , Maris G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cole R. , Rydel R. ,
  • 46', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
  • 60', Doyle-Hayes J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 66', Hendry R. , Lewis A. ,
  • 67', Bolton L. , Dickov M. ,
  • 67', Wareham J. , Cox S. ,
  • 71', Swinkels S. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Magennis J. (Pen),
  • 78', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,
  • 80', Blake-Tracy F. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Evans W. , Lewis A. (A),
  • 89', Maris G. , McAdam K. ,
  • 89', Evans W. , Moriah-Welsh N. ,
  • 90', Swinkels S. , Dean T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
34.5%
Draw
28.3%
Mansfield Town
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 27.4% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.8% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Exeter City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.6)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    2.51
    (2.61)
    6.6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
    • Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mansfield is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Gardner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Oates R. (Injury) Oshilaja A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Mansfield Town - Exeter City 3:0
    11.03.2025 Exeter City - Mansfield Town 2:0
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two