Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 3
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (474/586) | 77% (296/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (474/586) | 77% (296/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/85) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (66/133) | 51% (46/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Blake-Tracy F. ⚽, Maris G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cole R. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
- 46', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
- 60', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 66', Hendry R. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 67', Bolton L. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 67', Wareham J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 71', Swinkels S. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Magennis J. (Pen),
- 78', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,
- 80', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Evans W. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
- 89', Maris G. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
- 89', Evans W. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
- 90', Swinkels S. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
34.5% | Draw
28.3% | Mansfield Town
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Exeter City - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.6) |
3.33 ↓
(3.45) |
2.51 ↓
(2.61) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Mansfield Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
- Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mansfield is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Gardner J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Oates R.
(Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Mansfield Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Exeter City?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
03.05.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Exeter City
3:0
11.03.2025
Exeter City
-
Mansfield Town
2:0
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Luton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Wigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Reading | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 22 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
