Northampton Town vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Northampton Town - Exeter City
Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.16
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
66% (176/267)81% (383/470)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.540.10
Total shots
106
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
149
Passes
66% (176/267)81% (383/470)
Long passes
30% (21/70)49% (35/71)
Passes in final third
44% (43/98)65% (82/127)
Crosses
47% (7/15)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.35
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
915
Tackles
73% (11/15)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5845
Clearances
2729
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.101.54
Goals prevented
0.10-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Wheatley E. , Guinness-Walker N. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Dyche M. ,
  • 43', Cox S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Francis E. , Doyle-Hayes J. ,
  • 51', Perkins J. , Burroughs J. ,
  • 57', Cox S. , Magennis J. ,
  • 65', Wareham J. , Birch G. ,
  • 66', McGeehan C. , Eaves T. ,
  • 66', Wheatley E. , List E. ,
  • 72', Guinness-Walker N. , Wormleighton J. ,
  • 77', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 82', McMillan J. , Woodhouse L. ,
  • 82', Rydel R. , Wilson K. ,
  • 90+3', Magennis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
44.7%
Draw
29.2%
Exeter City
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.2% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 27.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northampton Town - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.38)
    3.37
    (3.25)
    3.79
    (2.75)
    2.1%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Exeter (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
    • Northampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Exeter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Jacobs M. (Knock) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Swyer K. (Knock) Thorniley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Swinkels S. (Injury) Yfeko J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Exeter City were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Exeter City - Northampton Town 1:1
    17.08.2024 Northampton Town - Exeter City 2:1
    20.04.2024 Northampton Town - Exeter City 1:2
    30.09.2023 Exeter City - Northampton Town 0:2
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two