Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 5
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (176/267) | 81% (383/470) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (176/267) | 81% (383/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 49% (35/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (43/98) | 65% (82/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Wheatley E. ⚽, Guinness-Walker N. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Dyche M. ⚽,
- 43', Cox S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Francis E. ↓, Doyle-Hayes J. ↑,
- 51', Perkins J. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
- 57', Cox S. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 65', Wareham J. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
- 66', McGeehan C. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 66', Wheatley E. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 72', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Wormleighton J. ↑,
- 77', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 82', McMillan J. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
- 82', Rydel R. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 90+3', Magennis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
44.7% | Draw
29.2% | Exeter City
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northampton Town - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.38) |
3.37 ↑
(3.25) |
3.79 ↑
(2.75) |
2.1%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Exeter (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
- Northampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Exeter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Jacobs M.
(Knock)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Swyer K.
(Knock)
Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Swinkels S.
(Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Exeter City?
Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Northampton Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Exeter City were as follows:
01.03.2025
Exeter City
-
Northampton Town
1:1
17.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Exeter City
2:1
20.04.2024
Northampton Town
-
Exeter City
1:2
30.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
