Result
0:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 32
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (433/529) | 62% (163/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (433/529) | 62% (163/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (32/71) | 27% (23/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (77/119) | 45% (37/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Swyer K. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
- 53', List E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 62', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
- 63', Eaves T. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 66', Yfeko J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 68', Campbell D. 🟨,
- 83', Aitchison J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 84', Tuterov T. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
47.1% | Draw
27.6% | Northampton Town
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Exeter City - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.06) |
3.39 ↑
(3.3) |
3.71 ↑
(3.47) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Exeter City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Exeter is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: McMillan J.
(Inactive)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Northampton Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Exeter City?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Northampton Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Northampton Town
-
Exeter City
2:0
01.03.2025
Exeter City
-
Northampton Town
1:1
17.08.2024
Northampton Town
-
Exeter City
2:1
20.04.2024
Northampton Town
-
Exeter City
1:2
30.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
