Eyüpspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 13
  • Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.66
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
82% (367/448)79% (291/369)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.411.61
Total shots
129
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2820
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
82% (367/448)79% (291/369)
Long passes
46% (31/67)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
65% (72/110)61% (57/93)
Crosses
41% (7/17)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.76
Throw-ins
1728
Fouls
1618
Tackles
63% (15/24)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
1316
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.612.41
Goals prevented
0.611.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Kurukalip C. , Esgaio R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Camacho J. , Cukur T. ,
  • 65', Lucas Calegari , Dragus D. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Akbaba E. , Mujakic N. (A),
  • 70', Bozok U. 🟨,
  • 76', Bozok U. , Ampem P. O. ,
  • 76', Akbaba E. , Kayan Y. ,
  • 83', Doh M. , Johnson D. ,
  • 83', Ozcan B. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Kranevitter M. , Cukur T. (A),
  • 90', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Johnson D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Eyüpspor
46.8%
Draw
27.1%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 26.2% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 25.3% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.84)
    3.53
    (3.57)
    3.76
    (4.07)
    4.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eyüpspor: 53.8%96.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Karagümrük (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Karagümrük (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eyüpspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karagümrük (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Eyüpspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Eyüpspor: Bayirkan C. (Inactive) Luccas Claro (Ankle Injury) Saiz S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Stepanenko T. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Eyüpspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Eyüpspor
    09.11.2025 Samsunspor - Eyüpspor 1:0
    03.11.2025 Eyüpspor - Antalyaspor 0:1
    25.10.2025 Trabzonspor - Eyüpspor 2:0
    20.10.2025 Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa 2:0
    04.10.2025 Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor 1:0
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig