Result
3:2
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Santos J. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
- 36', Batista J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Filipe J. ⚽,
- 45+1', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Ka (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Ka (A),
- 61', Almeida F. ↓, Arome ↑,
- 66', Amorim J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
- 69', Ventura ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
- 69', Filipe J. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
- 75', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Antunes Tiago C. J. ⚽,
- 85', Picas ↓, Leal J. ↑,
- 85', Ka ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Arome ⚽,
Chances of winning
Amarante 30.3% | Draw 30.6% | Fafe 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Amarante - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↓ (3.33) |
2.98 ↑ (2.91) |
2.34 ↑ (2.22) |
9.5% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 0.
- Amarante is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fafe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Fafe?
Amarante has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Amarante?
Fafe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Fafe were as follows:
10.10.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
3:0
13.04.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
1:1
16.02.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
1:3
18.01.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
0:0
06.10.2024
Fafe
-
Amarante
4:1
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 | Trofense | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Paredes | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Braga B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Varzim | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Academica | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Santarem | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Caldas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Amora | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )