Result
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Chances of winning
Amarante
29.9% | Draw
30.8% | Fafe
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Amarante - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.33) |
2.96 ↑
(2.91) |
2.32 ↑
(2.22) |
9.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 0.
- Amarante is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fafe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Fafe?
Amarante has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Amarante?
Fafe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Fafe were as follows:
10.10.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
3:0
13.04.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
1:1
16.02.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
1:3
18.01.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
0:0
06.10.2024
Fafe
-
Amarante
4:1
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | Braga B | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 20 |
| 4 | Varzim | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Amarante | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Paredes | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 26 |
| 2 | Mafra | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Atletico CP | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Academica | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Caldas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
| 6 | Amora | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Santarem | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Covilha | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
