Result
3:0
10/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Santos J. ⚽, Picas (A),
- 16', Lawrence 🟨,
- 23', Lawrence 🟨,
- 35', Ribeiro O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pedro R. 🟨,
- 48', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 🟥,
- 56', 2 - 0, Santos J. ⚽,
- 59', Santos J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
- 59', Teixeira L. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
- 66', Pedro R. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 66', Ribeiro O. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Ka ⚽, Vigario J. (A),
- 70', Ka ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
- 70', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
- 75', Amorim J. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
- 79', Helder Pedro ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fafe
63.7% | Draw
24.1% | Amarante
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fafe's performance.Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fafe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fafe - Amarante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.89) |
4.63 ↑
(3.31) |
9.18 ↑
(4.05) |
-10.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fafe - Amarante?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fafe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fafe will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fafe could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Amarante?
Fafe has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Fafe?
Amarante has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Amarante were as follows:
13.04.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
1:1
16.02.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
1:3
18.01.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
0:0
06.10.2024
Fafe
-
Amarante
4:1
08.09.2024
Fafe
-
Amarante
1:4
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Varzim | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
