Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (408/517) | 59% (138/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (408/517) | 59% (138/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/61) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (63/116) | 45% (41/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Ichimi K. ⚽, Motoyama H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Hayakawa F. 🟨,
- 56', Kimura T. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 61', Ono Y. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
- 61', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Shirai E. ⚽, Okumura J. (A),
- 74', Shimamura T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 75', Motoyama H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 75', Ichimi K. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 75', Tagami D. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 83', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
- 84', Hayakawa F. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
- 84', Okumura J. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 88', Miyamoto E. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 90+1', Esaka A. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 90+3', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
35.5% | Draw
30.5% | Fagiano Okayama
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)The chances for Fagiano Okayama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.58) |
3.1 ↓
(3.31) |
2.78 ↓
(2.83) |
6%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
- Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Okayama: Sato R.
(International duty)
Tatsuta Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Fagiano Okayama?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Albirex Niigata?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
18.05.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 56 |
| 7 | Machida | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:52 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:50 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | Verdy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 42 |
| 13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:44 | -8 | 34 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 23:39 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
