Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.83
Ball Possession
75%	25%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
85% (612/716)	69% (165/238)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	2.10
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
11	2
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
32	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
85% (612/716)	69% (165/238)
Long passes
47% (27/58)	24% (12/51)
Passes in final third
77% (193/252)	57% (47/82)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.47
Throw-ins
27	19
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
80% (8/10)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
37	45
Clearances
13	37
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.10	0.28
Goals prevented
-0.90	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Fujita I. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
45+3', Mitsuta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Lucao ↑,
46', Kurata S. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
61', Ichimi K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
61', Yanagi T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
62', Suzuki T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
63', Tatsuta Y. 🟨,
69', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
78', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
78', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Kimura T. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
90', Hummet D. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
90+5', Sato R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
47.8%

Draw
27.3%

Fagiano Okayama
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.4%

21.9%

Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	6% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 40%). Okayama (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Okayama: Motoyama H. (Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?

Gamba Osaka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Gamba Osaka?

Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:

26.02.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka 2:0

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

02.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Reims 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata 4:5 ✺

05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

20.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu 0:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Mito	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Verdy	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Yokohama F. Marinos	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Kawasaki Frontale	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Kashiwa Reysol	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Chiba	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Urawa Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	FC Tokyo	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Kashima Antlers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Machida	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Avispa Fukuoka	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Cerezo Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Kyoto	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Nagoya Grampus	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Shimizu S-Pulse	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Okayama	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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