Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (231/329) | 73% (304/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (231/329) | 73% (304/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 27% (16/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (73/125) | 65% (63/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Nakatani S. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Lucao (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', 1 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Mito R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jebali I. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 46', Hatsuse R. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 57', Yamane T. 🟨,
- 60', Mito R. ↓, Yamamoto T. ↑,
- 61', Meshino R. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
- 61', Kawano K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 61', Yamane T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 73', Miyamoto E. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 73', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Minamino H. ⚽,
- 81', Fujii K. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 83', Suzuki T. ↓, Ikegaya G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
31.3% | Draw
29.5% | Gamba Osaka
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(3.05) |
3.19 ↓
(3.33) |
2.41 ↑
(2.33) |
6.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Okayama: Ogura K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
Welton
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Fujita I.
(Injury)
Nishikawa J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Abe S.
(Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Injury)
Yamashita R.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Gamba Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?
Gamba Osaka has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
10.08.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Fagiano Okayama
0:3
26.02.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Gamba Osaka
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
