Result
0:3
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (612/716) | 69% (165/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (612/716) | 69% (165/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 24% (12/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (193/252) | 57% (47/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Fujita I. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
- 45+3', Mitsuta M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 46', Kurata S. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 61', Ichimi K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 61', Yanagi T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 62', Suzuki T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 63', Tatsuta Y. 🟨,
- 69', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
- 78', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 78', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 89', 0 - 3, Kimura T. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
- 90', Hummet D. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 90+5', Sato R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
47.8% | Draw
27.3% | Fagiano Okayama
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-3%)
Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.86) |
3.44 ↓
(3.49) |
3.83 ↓
(4.2) |
6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gamba Osaka is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Okayama: Motoyama H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Fagiano Okayama?
Gamba Osaka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Gamba Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
26.02.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Gamba Osaka
2:0
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 51 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
| 9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
