Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 7
- Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | MATCH! Planeta, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Alshin I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
- 57', Gongadze G. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
- 58', Magomedov B. ↓, Cherov V. ↑,
- 64', Malkevich V. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
- 64', Voronov M. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Mosin E. ⚽,
- 67', Motpan N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
- 74', Alshin I. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 81', Magkeev S. 🟨,
- 81', Bondarev V. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 85', Sungatulin F. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Mosin E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ural
43.3% | Draw
33.7% | Fakel
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Ural - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.07) |
2.85 ↓
(2.95) |
4.19 ↓
(4.31) |
4%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ural - Fakel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Ural is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fakel is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Fakel?
Ural has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Ural?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Fakel were as follows:
12.05.2024
Fakel
-
Ural
0:0
17.09.2023
Ural
-
Fakel
0:0
12.11.2022
Ural
-
Fakel
2:0
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 27 |
| 3 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Kamaz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Ufa | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Yenisey | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Saratov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
