Fakel vs Ural – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Regions Path - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Gaponov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sekulic M. , Markov E. ,
  • 46', Yakimov V. , Motpan N. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Abdokov N. ,
  • 65', Motpan N. 🟨,
  • 74', Turishchev M. , Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 74', Abdokov N. , Gongadze G. ,
  • 75', Ishkov I. , Miguel G. ,
  • 75', Kharin E. , Zheleznov Y. ,
  • 85', Uridia M. , Alshin I. ,
  • 89', Karapuzov V. , Arabachyan T. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
35.7%
Draw
32.1%
Ural
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 31.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 31.2% 32.7%

Fakel - Ural Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(2.6)
2.9
(2.88)
2.9
(2.74)
7.2%
(9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fakel - Ural?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 0.
    • Fakel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ural has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Ural were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Ural - Fakel 2:0
    12.05.2024 Fakel - Ural 0:0
    17.09.2023 Ural - Fakel 0:0
    12.11.2022 Ural - Fakel 2:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    04.10.2025 Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    Latest results of Ural
    06.10.2025 KAMAZ - Ural 5:1
    29.09.2025 Ural - SKA Khabarovsk 1:2
    23.09.2025 Dinskaya - Ural 1:2
    20.09.2025 Ural - Rotor 0:0
    15.09.2025 Ufa - Ural 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar