Result
0:4
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 20
- Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ⚽,
- 6', 0 - 2, Gabaraev A. ⚽,
- 14', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 3, Pusi B. (Pen),
- 43', Baranovsky A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Turishchev M. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
- 61', Baranovsky A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 61', Perchenok A. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 4, Bagamaev A. ⚽,
- 66', Alshin I. 🟨,
- 67', Khabalov A. ↓, Khanenko I. ↑,
- 69', Alshin I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
- 69', Netfullin R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 75', Gystarov R. 🟨,
- 78', Tenyaev A. ↓, Ozmanov D. ↑,
- 78', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
- 78', Bagamaev A. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ufa
22.5% | Draw
30.3% | Fakel
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Ufa - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(4.02) |
3.1 ↑
(3.09) |
1.99 ↓
(2.1) |
6.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Ufa has had a series of home games.
- Fakel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Fakel?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Ufa?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Fakel were as follows:
27.07.2025
Fakel
-
Ufa
1:0
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Torpedo Moscow | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 30:67 | -37 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 13:43 | -30 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
