Result
0:1
01/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 10
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (217/282) | 80% (287/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (217/282) | 80% (287/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 54% (30/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (49/89) | 73% (87/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 30', Pedro Bondo 🟨,
- 34', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 39', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Joujou A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Joujou A. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 63', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 66', Liziero 🟨,
- 68', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
- 70', Witi ↓, Nourani M. ↑,
- 75', Elisor S. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 75', Pedro Bondo ↓, Rafa Soares ↑,
- 78', Aurelio J. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
- 78', Jose Gomes ↓, Vallier L. ↑,
- 78', Zabiri Y. 🟨,
- 87', Soares F. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 87', Liziero ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 90', De Amorim M. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 90+1', Carevic L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sorriso 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional
30% | Draw
28.2% | Famalicão
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Nacional - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(3.12) |
3.38 ↓
(3.55) |
2.28 ↑
(2.11) |
5.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Nacional (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Nacional (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Famalicão could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
Lucas Franca
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Ulisses
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Famalicão?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Nacional?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Famalicão were as follows:
01.03.2025
Nacional
-
Famalicão
2:1
29.09.2024
Famalicão
-
Nacional
0:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
