Result
2:1
01/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/375) | 74% (230/311) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 21% (4/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 55% (6/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Daniel Penha ⚽,
- 34', Mihaj E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Aranda O. ⚽,
- 64', Sorriso ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 67', Isaac ↓, Joel ↑,
- 67', Dudu ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 67', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 75', De Amorim M. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
- 75', Sejk V. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 78', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 79', Paulinho Boia ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 88', Mamageishvili O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Appiah A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Labidi C. ⚽,
- 90+6', Garcia 🟨,
- 90+8', Esteves L. ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional
34% | Draw
30.8% | Famalicão
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.46) |
3.07 ↓
(3.09) |
2.68 ↓
(3.08) |
5.9%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Famalicão will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 9).
- Nacional is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Famalicão is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Matheus Dias
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Sa G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Joel
(Injury)
Jose Gomes
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Zlobin I.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Famalicão?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Nacional?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Famalicão were as follows:
29.09.2024
Famalicão
-
Nacional
0:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
