Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.49 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
28 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
83% (404/484) | 79% (275/350) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.49 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.27 | 1.10 |
Total shots |
---|
28 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
13 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
54 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
83% (404/484) | 79% (275/350) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (27/45) | 38% (25/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (174/229) | 60% (27/45) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (5/32) | 6% (1/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.84 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 52 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.10 | 1.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.10 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Aguilera Zamora B. 🟨,
- 19', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 30', Rafa Soares 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rafa Soares ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 50', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 57', Lomboto J. 🟨,
- 59', Lomboto J. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
- 59', Pohlmann O. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 62', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 64', Richards O. T. C. ↓, Athanasiou N. ↑,
- 64', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 64', Gil Dias ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 79', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 79', De Amorim M. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
- 81', Liavas G. 🟨,
- 88', Clayton ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 90+6', Miszta C. 🟨,
- 90+12', Andre Luiz 🟨,
Chances of winning
Famalicão 57.5% | Draw 24.3% | Rio Ave 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+4%)
Famalicão - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.79) |
3.89 ↑ (3.63) |
5.36 ↑ (4.13) |
4.4% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 62.1% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Famalicão (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Famalicão will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Recent performances by Famalicão have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rio Ave's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Rio Ave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
Zabiri Y.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
Rafa Soares
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Rio Ave?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Famalicão?
Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Rio Ave were as follows:
10.03.2025
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
1:0
04.10.2024
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
1:1
16.02.2024
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
2:1
16.09.2023
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
1:1
26.05.2023
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
2:2
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2