Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (404/484) | 79% (275/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 54 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (404/484) | 79% (275/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (174/229) | 60% (27/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/32) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Aguilera Zamora B. 🟨,
- 19', De Amorim M. 🟨,
- 30', Rafa Soares 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rafa Soares ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 50', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 57', Lomboto J. 🟨,
- 59', Lomboto J. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
- 59', Pohlmann O. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 62', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 64', Richards O. T. C. ↓, Athanasiou N. ↑,
- 64', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 64', Gil Dias ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 79', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 79', De Amorim M. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
- 81', Liavas G. 🟨,
- 88', Clayton ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 90+6', Miszta C. 🟨,
- 90+12', Andre Luiz 🟨,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
57.5% | Draw
24.3% | Rio Ave
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+4%)
Famalicão - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.79) |
3.89 ↑
(3.63) |
5.36 ↑
(4.13) |
4.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 62.1% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Famalicão (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Famalicão will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Recent performances by Famalicão have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rio Ave's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Rio Ave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
Zabiri Y.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
Rafa Soares
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Rio Ave?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Famalicão?
Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Rio Ave were as follows:
10.03.2025
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
1:0
04.10.2024
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
1:1
16.02.2024
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
2:1
16.09.2023
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
1:1
26.05.2023
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
2:2
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
