Famalicão vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Famalicão - Rio Ave
Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 7
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.62
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
286
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
116
Passes
83% (404/484)79% (275/350)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.10
Total shots
286
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
131
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
194
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
116
Touches in opposition box
549
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1519
Passes
83% (404/484)79% (275/350)
Long passes
60% (27/45)38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
76% (174/229)60% (27/45)
Crosses
16% (5/32)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.840.47
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1915
Tackles
67% (12/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5361
Clearances
1452
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.101.27
Goals prevented
1.100.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Aguilera Zamora B. 🟨,
  • 19', De Amorim M. 🟨,
  • 30', Rafa Soares 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rafa Soares , Garcia ,
  • 50', Elisor S. 🟨,
  • 57', Lomboto J. 🟨,
  • 59', Lomboto J. , Spikic D. ,
  • 59', Pohlmann O. , Liavas G. ,
  • 62', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
  • 64', Richards O. T. C. , Athanasiou N. ,
  • 64', Aguilera Zamora B. , Nikitscher T. ,
  • 64', Gil Dias , Joujou A. ,
  • 79', Elisor S. , Abubakar U. ,
  • 79', De Amorim M. , Mamageishvili O. ,
  • 81', Liavas G. 🟨,
  • 88', Clayton , Gual M. ,
  • 90+6', Miszta C. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Andre Luiz 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Famalicão
57.5%
Draw
24.3%
Rio Ave
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.3% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.
  • Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Famalicão - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.79)
    3.89
    (3.63)
    5.36
    (4.13)
    4.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Famalicão - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 62.1%93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Famalicão (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Famalicão will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
    • Recent performances by Famalicão have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rio Ave's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rio Ave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O. (Knee Injury) Pastor G. (Inactive) Zabiri Y. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R. (Inactive) Rafa Soares (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Rio Ave were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Famalicão - Rio Ave 1:0
    04.10.2024 Rio Ave - Famalicão 1:1
    16.02.2024 Famalicão - Rio Ave 2:1
    16.09.2023 Rio Ave - Famalicão 1:1
    26.05.2023 Rio Ave - Famalicão 2:2
    Latest results of Famalicão
    21.09.2025 Casa Pia - Famalicão 1:1
    30.08.2025 AVS - Famalicão 0:1
    24.08.2025 Famalicão - Gil Vicente 0:0
    16.08.2025 Tondela - Famalicão 0:1
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    23.09.2025 Benfica - Rio Ave 1:1
    19.09.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 0:3
    13.09.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 3:1
    31.08.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:2
    23.08.2025 Arouca - Rio Ave 3:3
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Moreirense750210:8215
    5Gil Vicente74128:4413
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Braga723211:749
    8Santa Clara72235:8-38
    9Vitoria Guimaraes72237:11-48
    10Arouca72239:18-98
    11Estrela71426:607
    12Alverca72148:11-37
    13Nacional72146:10-47
    14Casa Pia72146:11-57
    15Estoril71248:11-35
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS70164:17-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2