Result
0:2
09/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
21 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 15 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 17 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
29 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
73% (263/362) | 73% (219/298) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
56% (77/137) | 62% (48/77) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (12/37) | 8% (1/12) |
Tackles |
---|
73% (19/26) | 81% (17/21) |
Clearances Total |
---|
15 | 55 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Yamada F. 🟨,
- 26', Rony Lopes 🟨,
- 41', Balde E. 🟥,
- 45+4', Lucas Franca 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Matias M. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 46', Rony Lopes ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
- 46', Matheus Dias ↓, Daniel Penha ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Jose Gomes ⚽, Dudu (A),
- 51', Yamada F. 🟨,
- 56', Moreno M. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
- 56', Menino M. ↓, Justo S. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 2, Jose Gomes ⚽, Soumare D. (A),
- 65', Paulinho Boia ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 70', Paulo Victor ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 76', Bruno Costa ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 76', Dudu ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 87', Daniel Penha ↓, Isaac ↑,
Chances of winning
Farense 38.7% | Draw 30.8% | Nacional 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Farense - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.56) |
3.05 ↓ (3.23) |
3.09 ↑ (2.77) |
6.2% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Farense - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 2.
- Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Nacional: Esteves L.
(Yellow Cards)
Ulisses
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Nacional?
Farense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Farense?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Nacional were as follows:
01.09.2024
Nacional
-
Farense
2:0
14.05.2023
Nacional
-
Farense
0:1
07.01.2023
Farense
-
Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2