Farense vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Farense - Nacional
Result
0:2
09/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 21
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.47
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
123
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
1516
Offsides
30
Fouls
1615
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
11
Throw-ins
2917
Touches in the Opposition Box
2913
Passes
73% (263/362)73% (219/298)
Passes in the final third
56% (77/137)62% (48/77)
Crosses
32% (12/37)8% (1/12)
Tackles
73% (19/26)81% (17/21)
Clearances Total
1555
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Yamada F. 🟨,
  • 26', Rony Lopes 🟨,
  • 41', Balde E. 🟥,
  • 45+4', Lucas Franca 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Matias M. , Costa R. ,
  • 46', Rony Lopes , Rivaldo ,
  • 46', Matheus Dias , Daniel Penha ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Jose Gomes , Dudu (A),
  • 51', Yamada F. 🟨,
  • 56', Moreno M. , Njie Y. ,
  • 56', Menino M. , Justo S. ,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Jose Gomes , Soumare D. (A),
  • 65', Paulinho Boia , Macedo R. ,
  • 70', Paulo Victor , Bermejo A. ,
  • 76', Bruno Costa , Sousa A. ,
  • 76', Dudu , Appiah A. ,
  • 87', Daniel Penha , Isaac ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
38.7%
Draw
30.8%
Nacional
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 29.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 29.2% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Farense - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.56)
    3.05
    (3.23)
    3.09
    (2.77)
    6.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Farense - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 2.
    • Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Nacional: Esteves L. (Yellow Cards) Ulisses (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Nacional were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Nacional - Farense 2:0
    14.05.2023 Nacional - Farense 0:1
    07.01.2023 Farense - Nacional 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    02.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:1
    25.01.2025 Farense - Rio Ave 1:2
    19.01.2025 Moreirense - Farense 0:0
    14.01.2025 Farense - Benfica 1:3
    05.01.2025 Santa Clara - Farense 0:0
    Latest results of Nacional
    01.02.2025 Nacional - Arouca 1:2
    25.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 2:0
    19.01.2025 Nacional - AVS 3:1
    12.01.2025 Nacional - Porto 2:0
    29.12.2024 Rio Ave - Nacional 2:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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