Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/531) | 69% (162/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (455/531) | 69% (162/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (25/40) | 29% (17/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (163/208) | 59% (49/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (10/52) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 3.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | 2.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Matias M. ⚽, Costa R. (A),
- 45+4', Costa R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Miguel Maga ↓, Gaspar B. ↑,
- 46', Beni ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 47', Kaique Pereira 🟨,
- 48', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
- 60', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 60', Gustavo ↓, Dieu M. ↑,
- 73', Relvas F. 🟨,
- 81', Rony Lopes (Pen),
- 81', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 82', Mendes J. II. ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 87', Costa R. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 87', Paulo Victor ↓, Derick Poloni ↑,
- 87', Matias M. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
- 87', Rony Lopes ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Poveda D. ⚽,
- 90+4', Poveda D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Justo S. ↓, Jorge A. ↑,
- 90+6', Handel T. 🟨,
- 90+10', Jorge A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
61% | Draw
23.6% | Farense
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.66) |
3.98 ↑
(3.83) |
6.09 ↑
(5.05) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Farense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vitoria Guimarães will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Guimarães is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Farense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Farense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guimarães is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Arcanjo T.
(Yellow Cards)
Embalo U.
(Suspended)
Samu
(Injury)
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Inactive)
Soares F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Farense: Velho R.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Guimarães will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Farense?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Farense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Farense were as follows:
29.12.2024
Farense
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
13.04.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Farense
1:1
02.12.2023
Farense
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:2
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Famalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | AFS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
