Fatih Karagümrükspor vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
90
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
90
Free Kicks
1217
Throw-ins
1816

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Gray A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Serginho , Sivri A. ,
  • 46', Kurukalip C. , Balkovec J. ,
  • 59', Demirol A. , Ozcan B. ,
  • 66', Sol M. , Yavuz S. ,
  • 74', Cinar A. 🟨,
  • 76', Johnson D. , Fofana D. D. ,
  • 79', Sandikci E. , Ay F. K. ,
  • 87', Sahin C. , Yilmaz T. ,
  • 87', Koseoglu E. , Bozkus B. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
65.9%
Draw
20.1%
İstanbulspor
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.1% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 25.8% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.
  • İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-27.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (2.37)
    4.69
    (3.55)
    6.74
    (2.65)
    4.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Karagümrük (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Karagümrük (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Karagümrük (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Karagümrük (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 16 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4.
    • In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • İstanbulspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Karagümrük may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    22.02.2025 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0
    30.09.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 1:0
    20.04.2024 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:2
    01.12.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 3:0
    03.04.2023 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray44008:3512
    2Trabzonspor430113:499
    3Alanyaspor42118:447
    4Basaksehir42028:716
    5Karagumruk41215:6-15
    6Boluspor40221:6-52
    7Istanbulspor AS40222:9-72
    8Fethiyespor40131:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas431010:3710
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Erzurumspor42028:806
    5Kocaelispor41124:404
    6Rizespor41127:9-24
    7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:5-24
    8Keciorengucu41036:13-73


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alanyaspor42118:447
    2Genclerbirligi32106:427
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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