Deportivo Municipal vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar
Result
0:1
17/07/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Municipal
23%
Draw
26.8%
FBC Melgar
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.8% 20.5% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2% 19.7% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Municipal's performance.
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Municipal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (6.3)
    3.45
    (4.55)
    1.85
    (1.44)
    8.2%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 1.
    • Recent matches Municipal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Melgar is a favorite.
    • Last 22 head-to-head matches Municipal won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 27-32.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    13.02.2023 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Municipal 0:2
    11.09.2022 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Municipal 6:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Municipal
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cusco44008:1712
    2Sporting Cristal330010:0109
    3U. de Deportes32107:347
    4Deportivo Garcilaso32105:147
    5Sport Huancayo42118:717
    6Alianza Lima31113:4-14
    7FBC Melgar31112:3-14
    8Ayacucho41124:6-24
    9Sport Boys41121:5-44
    10Alianza Atl30301:103
    11Alianza Huanuco31024:5-13
    12Grau21013:4-13
    13Juan Pablo II31025:7-23
    14Los Chankas21013:5-23
    15AD Tarma31021:4-33
    16Cienciano30122:4-21
    17Cajamarca30122:4-21
    18Binacional20110:2-21
    19Comerciantes Unidos30123:6-31

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