Cincinnati vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.69	2.05
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
14	9
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
36	29
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)	40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)	63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.68
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
70% (14/20)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
56	36
Clearances
22	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.05	2.69
Goals prevented
-0.95	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Powell A. 🟨,
8', Farfan M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
36', Urhoghide O. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
44', Kaick 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kamungo B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Moore S. (A),
62', Musa P. 🟨,
64', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
65', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
73', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
73', Orellano L. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
73', Powell A. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
83', Yedlin D. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
59%

Draw
22.5%

FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	4.27 ↑ (4.02)	5.09 ↑ (4.92)	4.6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against FC Dallas?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Cincinnati?

FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:

29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺

Latest results of FC Dallas

24.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1 ✺

07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	29	17	5	7	54:34	20	56
2	Minnesota United	29	14	9	6	48:32	16	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	14	7	6	47:31	16	49
4	Seattle Sounders	27	12	8	7	48:38	10	44
5	Los Angeles FC	26	11	8	7	45:33	12	41
6	Portland Timbers	28	10	9	9	36:38	-2	39
7	Austin FC	27	10	8	9	29:33	-4	38
8	Colorado Rapids	29	10	6	13	38:48	-10	36
9	San Jose Earthquakes	29	9	8	12	53:51	2	35
10	Houston Dynamo	28	8	8	12	37:46	-9	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	4	14	28:36	-8	31
12	FC Dallas	27	7	9	11	39:47	-8	30
13	Sporting Kansas City	28	7	6	15	43:57	-14	27
14	St. Louis City	28	5	6	17	33:50	-17	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	4	7	16	32:55	-23	19

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	29	17	6	6	49:26	23	57
2	FC Cincinnati	29	16	4	9	42:36	6	52
3	Charlotte	29	16	2	11	48:40	8	50
4	Nashville SC	29	15	5	9	49:33	16	50
5	Orlando City	28	13	8	7	54:40	14	47
6	Inter Miami	25	13	7	5	54:40	14	46
7	Columbus Crew	28	12	10	6	43:39	4	46
8	New York City	27	13	5	9	38:32	6	44
9	New York Red Bulls	29	11	7	11	42:38	4	40
10	Chicago Fire	27	11	6	10	50:48	2	39
11	New England Revolution	28	8	7	13	36:40	-4	31
12	Atlanta Utd	28	5	11	12	32:49	-17	26
13	Toronto FC	28	5	10	13	28:35	-7	25
14	CF Montreal	29	5	9	15	29:51	-22	24
15	DC United	29	5	9	15	26:54	-28	24

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)