Cincinnati vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.69	2.05
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
14	9
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
36	29
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)	40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)	63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.68
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
70% (14/20)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
56	36
Clearances
22	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.05	2.69
Goals prevented
-0.95	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Powell A. 🟨,
8', Farfan M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
36', Urhoghide O. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
44', Kaick 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kamungo B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Moore S. (A),
62', Musa P. 🟨,
64', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
65', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
73', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
73', Orellano L. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
73', Powell A. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
83', Yedlin D. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
59%

Draw
22.5%

FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	4.27 ↑ (4.02)	5.09 ↑ (4.92)	4.6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against FC Dallas?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Cincinnati?

FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:

29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺

Latest results of FC Dallas

24.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1 ✺

07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	24	13	4	7	47:32	15	43
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	12	6	5	39:26	13	42
3	Minnesota United	24	11	8	5	40:27	13	41
4	Seattle Sounders	23	10	7	6	37:33	4	37
5	Los Angeles FC	21	10	6	5	39:27	12	36
6	Portland Timbers	23	9	7	7	32:32	0	34
7	Colorado Rapids	24	8	6	10	30:36	-6	30
8	Austin FC	22	8	6	8	17:24	-7	30
9	San Jose Earthquakes	24	7	8	9	46:42	4	29
10	Real Salt Lake	23	8	4	11	24:29	-5	28
11	Houston Dynamo	24	7	6	11	30:39	-9	27
12	FC Dallas	23	6	7	10	32:41	-9	25
13	Sporting Kansas City	23	6	6	11	36:42	-6	24
14	St. Louis City	23	4	6	13	23:38	-15	18
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	3	7	14	28:48	-20	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	24	15	3	6	39:31	8	48
2	Nashville SC	24	14	5	5	42:25	17	47
3	Philadelphia Union	24	14	5	5	40:23	17	47
4	Columbus Crew	24	12	8	4	40:33	7	44
5	Inter Miami	21	12	5	4	49:34	15	41
6	Orlando City	24	10	8	6	43:32	11	38
7	Charlotte	24	11	2	11	41:39	2	35
8	New York City	23	10	5	8	30:26	4	35
9	New York Red Bulls	24	9	6	9	39:35	4	33
10	Chicago Fire	23	9	5	9	44:40	4	32
11	New England Revolution	23	6	7	10	30:32	-2	25
12	Toronto FC	23	5	6	12	25:30	-5	21
13	Atlanta Utd	23	4	8	11	27:43	-16	20
14	DC United	24	4	7	13	20:45	-25	19
15	CF Montreal	24	3	6	15	20:45	-25	15

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)