Cincinnati vs FC Dallas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - FC Dallas
Result
3:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Cincinnati - FC Dallas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.692.05
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3629
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
157
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.68
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
715
Tackles
70% (14/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5636
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.052.69
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', Powell A. 🟨,
  • 8', Farfan M. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. , Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
  • 36', Urhoghide O. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
  • 44', Kaick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Kamungo B. , Pedrinho ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Musa P. , Moore S. (A),
  • 62', Musa P. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Santos , Kamara K. ,
  • 65', Kaick , Delgado P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. , Pedrinho (A),
  • 73', Bucha P. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 73', Orellano L. , Engel L. ,
  • 73', Powell A. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 83', Julio Santos A. A. , Farrington L. ,
  • 83', Yedlin D. , Baird C. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. , Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
  • 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
59%
Draw
22.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 23.6% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.66)
    4.27
    (4.02)
    5.09
    (4.92)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:
    29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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