Cincinnati vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.69	2.05
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
14	9
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
36	29
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)	40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)	63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.68
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
70% (14/20)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
56	36
Clearances
22	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.05	2.69
Goals prevented
-0.95	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Powell A. 🟨,
8', Farfan M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
36', Urhoghide O. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
44', Kaick 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kamungo B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Moore S. (A),
62', Musa P. 🟨,
64', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
65', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
73', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
73', Orellano L. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
73', Powell A. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
83', Yedlin D. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
59%

Draw
22.5%

FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	4.27 ↑ (4.02)	5.09 ↑ (4.92)	4.6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against FC Dallas?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Cincinnati?

FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:

29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺

Latest results of FC Dallas

24.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1 ✺

07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	34	19	6	9	64:41	23	63
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	34	18	9	7	66:38	28	63
3	Los Angeles FC ✔	34	17	9	8	65:40	25	60
4	Minnesota United ✔	34	16	10	8	56:39	17	58
5	Seattle Sounders ✔	34	15	10	9	58:48	10	55
6	Austin FC	34	13	8	13	37:45	-8	47
7	FC Dallas	34	11	11	12	52:55	-3	44
8	Portland Timbers	34	11	11	12	41:48	-7	44
9	Real Salt Lake	34	12	5	17	38:49	-11	41
10	San Jose Earthquakes	34	11	8	15	60:63	-3	41
11	Colorado Rapids	34	11	8	15	44:56	-12	41
12	Houston Dynamo	34	9	10	15	43:56	-13	37
13	St. Louis City	34	8	8	18	44:58	-14	32
14	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	7	9	18	46:66	-20	30
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	7	20	46:70	-24	28

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	34	20	6	8	57:35	22	66
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	34	20	5	9	52:40	12	65
3	Inter Miami ✔	34	19	8	7	81:55	26	65
4	Charlotte ✔	34	19	2	13	55:46	9	59
5	New York City ✔	34	17	5	12	50:44	6	56
6	Nashville SC	34	16	6	12	58:45	13	54
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	12	8	55:51	4	54
8	Chicago Fire	34	15	8	11	68:60	8	53
9	Orlando City	34	14	11	9	63:51	12	53
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	7	15	48:47	1	43
11	New England Revolution	34	9	9	16	44:51	-7	36
12	Toronto FC	34	6	14	14	37:44	-7	32
13	CF Montreal	34	6	10	18	34:60	-26	28
14	Atlanta Utd	34	5	13	16	38:63	-25	28
15	DC United	34	5	11	18	30:66	-36	26

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)