Result
3:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.51 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
89% (528/590) | 79% (273/346) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.51 | 1.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.69 | 2.05 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
89% (528/590) | 79% (273/346) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (32/56) | 40% (19/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (114/150) | 63% (66/105) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (8/24) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.46 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (14/20) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.05 | 2.69 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.95 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', Powell A. 🟨,
- 8', Farfan M. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
- 36', Urhoghide O. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
- 42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
- 44', Kaick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Kamungo B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Moore S. (A),
- 62', Musa P. 🟨,
- 64', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 65', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
- 73', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 73', Orellano L. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
- 73', Powell A. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
- 83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
- 83', Yedlin D. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
- 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 59% | Draw 22.5% | FC Dallas 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.66) |
4.27 ↑ (4.02) |
5.09 ↑ (4.92) |
4.6% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Leo Chu
(Knee Injury)
Lletget S.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against FC Dallas?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Cincinnati?
FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:
29.06.2024
FC Dallas
-
Cincinnati
0:1
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of FC Dallas
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)