Result
3:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (528/590) | 79% (273/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (528/590) | 79% (273/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (114/150) | 63% (66/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', Powell A. 🟨,
- 8', Farfan M. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
- 36', Urhoghide O. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
- 42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
- 44', Kaick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Kamungo B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Moore S. (A),
- 62', Musa P. 🟨,
- 64', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 65', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
- 73', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 73', Orellano L. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
- 73', Powell A. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
- 83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
- 83', Yedlin D. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
- 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
59% | Draw
22.5% | FC Dallas
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.66) |
4.27 ↑
(4.02) |
5.09 ↑
(4.92) |
4.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Dallas (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cincinnati will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 6 - 75%). Dallas (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Leo Chu
(Knee Injury)
Lletget S.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against FC Dallas?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Cincinnati?
FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:
29.06.2024
FC Dallas
-
Cincinnati
0:1
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of FC Dallas
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
