Cincinnati vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.69	2.05
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
14	9
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
36	29
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
89% (528/590)	79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)	40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)	63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.68
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
70% (14/20)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
56	36
Clearances
22	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.05	2.69
Goals prevented
-0.95	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Powell A. 🟨,
8', Farfan M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
36', Urhoghide O. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
44', Kaick 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kamungo B. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Musa P. ⚽, Moore S. (A),
62', Musa P. 🟨,
64', Sergio Santos ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
65', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
73', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
73', Orellano L. ↓, Engel L. ↑,
73', Powell A. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
83', Yedlin D. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cincinnati
59%

Draw
22.5%

FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	4.27 ↑ (4.02)	5.09 ↑ (4.92)	4.6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against FC Dallas?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against Cincinnati?

FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:

29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0 ✺

Latest results of FC Dallas

24.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1 ✺

07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	31	17	6	8	56:38	18	57
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	30	16	8	6	57:32	25	56
3	Minnesota United ✔	31	15	9	7	51:36	15	54
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	29	14	8	7	57:37	20	50
5	Seattle Sounders	30	12	9	9	52:45	7	45
6	Austin FC	30	12	8	10	33:37	-4	44
7	Portland Timbers	31	11	10	10	39:41	-2	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	11	6	14	41:52	-11	39
9	FC Dallas	30	9	10	11	45:49	-4	37
10	Houston Dynamo	31	9	9	13	40:49	-9	36
11	San Jose Earthquakes	31	9	8	14	56:58	-2	35
12	Real Salt Lake	30	10	4	16	32:45	-13	34
13	St. Louis City	31	7	7	17	39:52	-13	28
14	Sporting Kansas City	31	7	6	18	45:63	-18	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	4	9	17	37:61	-24	21

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	32	19	6	7	56:33	23	63
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	31	18	4	9	47:39	8	58
3	New York City ✔	32	17	5	10	49:41	8	56
4	Inter Miami ✔	30	16	8	6	65:47	18	56
5	Charlotte ✔	32	17	2	13	52:46	6	53
6	Orlando City	30	14	9	7	58:43	15	51
7	Nashville SC	31	15	5	11	52:38	14	50
8	Columbus Crew	31	13	11	7	51:47	4	50
9	Chicago Fire	30	13	6	11	57:53	4	45
10	New York Red Bulls	32	12	7	13	47:43	4	43
11	New England Revolution	32	9	8	15	41:45	-4	35
12	Toronto FC	31	5	13	13	31:38	-7	28
13	CF Montreal	32	6	9	17	33:56	-23	27
14	Atlanta Utd	31	5	12	14	37:57	-20	27
15	DC United	32	5	10	17	29:64	-35	25

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)