San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.50
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (400/482)67% (196/291)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.97
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
03
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
83% (400/482)67% (196/291)
Long passes
55% (34/62)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
72% (97/134)66% (72/109)
Crosses
14% (4/28)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.51
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1918
Tackles
58% (7/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.972.11
Goals prevented
-0.030.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Harkes I. , Martinez J. (A), Arango C. (A2)
  • 33', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 34', Vitor Costa , Romney D. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Musa P. ,
  • 45+8', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 66', Tsakiris N. , Bouda O. ,
  • 68', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 76', Kamungo B. , Farrington L. ,
  • 77', Leroux B. , Skahan J. ,
  • 77', Roberts R. , Judd P. ,
  • 80', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Musa P. , Ramiro (A), Farrington L. (A2)
  • 86', 2 - 2, Martinez J. , Skahan J. (A),
  • 90+2', Torquato J. , Urhoghide O. ,
  • 90+5', Delgado P. , Scott T. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
60.9%
Draw
20.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 21% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 20.8% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.62)
    4.6
    (4.52)
    5.14
    (4.61)
    5.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - San Jose (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Jose is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A. (Leg Injury) Norris N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas were as follows:
    25.06.2025 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:4
    02.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 3:2
    24.02.2024 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    07.10.2023 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    27.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 1:1
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)