San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.50
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (400/482)67% (196/291)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.97
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
03
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
83% (400/482)67% (196/291)
Long passes
55% (34/62)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
72% (97/134)66% (72/109)
Crosses
14% (4/28)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.51
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1918
Tackles
58% (7/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.972.11
Goals prevented
-0.030.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Harkes I. , Martinez J. (A), Arango C. (A2)
  • 33', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 34', Vitor Costa , Romney D. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Musa P. ,
  • 45+8', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 66', Tsakiris N. , Bouda O. ,
  • 68', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 76', Kamungo B. , Farrington L. ,
  • 77', Leroux B. , Skahan J. ,
  • 77', Roberts R. , Judd P. ,
  • 80', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Musa P. , Ramiro (A), Farrington L. (A2)
  • 86', 2 - 2, Martinez J. , Skahan J. (A),
  • 90+2', Torquato J. , Urhoghide O. ,
  • 90+5', Delgado P. , Scott T. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
60.9%
Draw
20.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 21% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 20.8% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.62)
    4.6
    (4.52)
    5.14
    (4.61)
    5.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - San Jose (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Jose is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A. (Leg Injury) Norris N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas were as follows:
    25.06.2025 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:4
    02.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 3:2
    24.02.2024 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    07.10.2023 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    27.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 1:1
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)