FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX).

: MLS

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	2.68
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
8	10
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
0	8
Passes
78% (255/326)	88% (544/618)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	2.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	3.31
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
8	10
Shots off target
0	5
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
8	15
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
0	8
Touches in opposition box
28	40
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
78% (255/326)	88% (544/618)
Long passes
37% (19/51)	55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)	76% (143/188)
Crosses
63% (5/8)	24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	2.36
Throw-ins
13	18
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
69% (9/13)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
44	44
Clearances
30	16
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	6
xGOT faced
3.31	1.58
Goals prevented
-0.69	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Musa P. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
45+5', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Kamungo B. ↑,
45+6', Munie D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
50', 1 - 1, Arango C. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A), Arango C. (A2)
61', Lletget S. ↓, Kaick ↑,
61', Pedrinho ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Moore S. ⚽,
76', Harkes I. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
76', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Leroux B. ⚽,
79', Kaick 🟥,
80', Arango C. 🟨,
82', Martinez J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
86', Ibeagha S. 🟥,
87', Farfan M. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
88', Arango C. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
90+1', Kaye M. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 4, Kaye M. ⚽, Jones D. (A),

Chances of winning

FC Dallas
37.4%

Draw
25.9%

San Jose Earthquakes
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Dallas's form might have worsened.

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Jose Earthquakes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Dallas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.08)	3.69 ↑ (3.67)	2.59 ↓ (3.43)	5.4% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 9 - 45%). San Jose will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 23.2% – 66.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury) Ramiro (Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury) Harkes I. (Red Card) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against San Jose Earthquakes?

FC Dallas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against FC Dallas?

San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:

02.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 3:2

24.02.2024 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1

07.10.2023 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1

27.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 1:1

17.09.2022 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 1:1

Latest results of FC Dallas

14.06.2025 Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas 2:4 ✺

31.05.2025 FC Dallas - Philadelphia Union 0:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3 ✺

24.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 3:2 ✺

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

13.06.2025 Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3 ✺

20.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers 1:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	20	12	3	5	41:25	16	39
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	19	11	5	3	35:19	16	38
3	Minnesota United	20	9	7	4	33:23	10	34
4	Portland Timbers	19	8	6	5	28:27	1	30
5	Seattle Sounders	19	8	5	6	27:25	2	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes	20	7	6	7	40:32	8	27
7	Los Angeles FC	17	7	5	5	30:24	6	26
8	Colorado Rapids	20	7	5	8	23:28	-5	26
9	Austin FC	20	7	5	8	15:23	-8	26
10	Houston Dynamo	20	6	5	9	25:31	-6	23
11	FC Dallas	19	5	6	8	26:35	-9	21
12	Sporting Kansas City	20	5	5	10	31:37	-6	20
13	Real Salt Lake	19	5	4	10	19:26	-7	19
14	St. Louis City	20	3	6	11	19:31	-12	15
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	20	1	6	13	19:42	-23	9

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	20	12	4	4	35:20	15	40
2	FC Cincinnati	20	12	3	5	31:26	5	39
3	Nashville SC	20	11	5	4	36:23	13	38
4	Columbus Crew	20	10	7	3	33:26	7	37
5	Orlando City	20	9	6	5	37:26	11	33
6	New York City	20	9	4	7	27:22	5	31
7	Inter Miami	16	8	5	3	36:27	9	29
8	New York Red Bulls	20	8	5	7	32:24	8	29
9	Chicago Fire	19	8	4	7	38:34	4	28
10	Charlotte	20	8	1	11	32:34	-2	25
11	New England Revolution	18	6	6	6	24:21	3	24
12	DC United	20	4	6	10	17:39	-22	18
13	Toronto FC	20	4	5	11	23:28	-5	17
14	Atlanta Utd	19	4	5	10	22:37	-15	17
15	CF Montreal	20	3	5	12	17:36	-19	14

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC