San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas
Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.50
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (400/482)67% (196/291)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.97
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
03
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
83% (400/482)67% (196/291)
Long passes
55% (34/62)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
72% (97/134)66% (72/109)
Crosses
14% (4/28)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.51
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1918
Tackles
58% (7/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.972.11
Goals prevented
-0.030.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Harkes I. , Martinez J. (A), Arango C. (A2)
  • 33', Vitor Costa 🟨,
  • 34', Vitor Costa , Romney D. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Musa P. ,
  • 45+8', Espinoza C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 66', Tsakiris N. , Bouda O. ,
  • 68', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 76', Kamungo B. , Farrington L. ,
  • 77', Leroux B. , Skahan J. ,
  • 77', Roberts R. , Judd P. ,
  • 80', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Musa P. , Ramiro (A), Farrington L. (A2)
  • 86', 2 - 2, Martinez J. , Skahan J. (A),
  • 90+2', Torquato J. , Urhoghide O. ,
  • 90+5', Delgado P. , Scott T. ,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
60.9%
Draw
20.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 21% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 20.8% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.62)
    4.6
    (4.52)
    5.14
    (4.61)
    5.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Jose is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A. (Leg Injury) Norris N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas were as follows:
    25.06.2025 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:4
    02.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 3:2
    24.02.2024 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    07.10.2023 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    27.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 1:1
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 34196964:412363
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 34189766:382863
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 34179865:402560
    4Minnesota United ✔ 341610856:391758
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 341510958:481055
    6Austin FC341381337:45-847
    7FC Dallas3411111252:55-344
    8Portland Timbers3411111241:48-744
    9Real Salt Lake341251738:49-1141
    10San Jose Earthquakes341181560:63-341
    11Colorado Rapids341181544:56-1241
    12Houston Dynamo349101543:56-1337
    13St. Louis City34881844:58-1432
    14Los Angeles Galaxy34791846:66-2030
    15Sporting Kansas City34772046:70-2428


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 34206857:352266
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 34205952:401265
    3Inter Miami ✔ 34198781:552665
    4Charlotte ✔ 341921355:46959
    5New York City ✔ 341751250:44656
    6Nashville SC341661258:451354
    7Columbus Crew341412855:51454
    8Chicago Fire341581168:60853
    9Orlando City341411963:511253
    10New York Red Bulls341271548:47143
    11New England Revolution34991644:51-736
    12Toronto FC346141437:44-732
    13CF Montreal346101834:60-2628
    14Atlanta Utd345131638:63-2528
    15DC United345111830:66-3626

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)