San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.321.92
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
55
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
98
Passes
74% (254/345)84% (409/489)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.321.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.101.01
Total shots
915
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
713
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1212
Passes
74% (254/345)84% (409/489)
Long passes
33% (17/51)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)73% (112/154)
Crosses
20% (4/20)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.112.89
Throw ins
2320
Fouls
1212
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
3017
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.012.10
Goals prevented
0.01-1.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Leroux B. ,
  • 27', Vieira R. 🟨,
  • 34', Werner T. , Skahan J. ,
  • 45', Judd P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Judd P. , Marie P. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Vieira R. (Own goal),
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Chancalay T. , Markanich A. (A),
  • 65', Romero N. , Padelford D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Skahan J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Leroux B. , Skahan J. (A),
  • 75', 4 - 2, Tsakiris N. , Bouda O. (A),
  • 78', Duncan K. , Dieng M. ,
  • 78', Triantis N. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 82', Ricketts J. , Romney D. ,
  • 83', Kikanovic B. , Harkes I. ,
  • 89', Markanich A. , Gonzalez M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
55%
Draw
22.8%
Minnesota United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 26.6% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.4% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.04)
    4.02
    (3.45)
    4.14
    (3.26)
    8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
    • San Jose is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Minnesota is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.3:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1
    08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1
    31.08.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:2
    20.07.2024 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    30.09.2023 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    2TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    4ByeOrlando City
    5New England RevolutionBye
    7Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    8MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    9ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    10Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    12ByeAtlanta Utd
    13CharlotteBye
    15Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    16CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    17Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    18West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    20ByeColumbus Crew
    21DC UnitedBye
    23Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    24VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    25Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    26Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    28ByeNew York City
    29New York Red BullsBye
    31Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    32Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    33Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    34DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    36ByeChicago Fire
    37St. Louis CityBye
    39San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    40Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    41LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    42Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    44ByeAustin FC
    45Houston DynamoBye
    47New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    48Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    49Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    50VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    52ByeSporting Kansas City
    53Colorado RapidsBye
    55Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    56BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    57AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    58Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    60ByeMinnesota United
    61San Jose EarthquakesBye
    63Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    64Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    2ByeOrlando City
    3New England RevolutionBye
    4Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    5ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    6ByeAtlanta Utd
    7CharlotteBye
    8Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    9Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    10ByeColumbus Crew
    11DC UnitedBye
    12Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2
    13Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    14ByeNew York City
    15New York Red BullsBye
    16PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    17Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    18ByeChicago Fire
    19St. Louis CityBye
    20San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    21LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    22ByeAustin FC
    23Houston DynamoBye
    24New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    25Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    26ByeSporting Kansas City
    27Colorado RapidsBye
    28Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    29Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    30ByeMinnesota United
    31San Jose EarthquakesBye
    32Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    2New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    3ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    4CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    5Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    6DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4
    7Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    8New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    9DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    10St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    11Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    12Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    13Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    14Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    15Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    16San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Orlando CityNew England Revolution4 : 3
    2Atlanta UtdCharlotte2 : 0
    3Columbus CrewOne Knoxville4 : 1
    4New York CityNew York Red Bulls3 : 1
    5Chicago FireSt. Louis City1 : 2
    6Louisville CityHouston Dynamo1 : 2
    7Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids2 : 3
    8Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Orlando CityAtlanta Utd
    2Columbus CrewNew York City
    3St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
    4Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2