FC Eindhoven vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
3:2
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.47
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
79% (264/335)85% (390/461)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.301.12
Total shots
127
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (264/335)85% (390/461)
Long passes
59% (43/73)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
58% (44/76)74% (99/133)
Crosses
21% (3/14)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.69
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1313
Tackles
72% (13/18)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5036
Clearances
1516
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.122.30
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Blummel S. ⚽, Douglas T. (A),
  • 15', Simons S. 🟨,
  • 22', Essers C. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Hartog J. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
  • 31', van Veen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Dekkers S. ↓, Atikallah R. ↑,
  • 46', van Veen K. ↓, Janga R. ↑,
  • 49', Douglas T. 🟨,
  • 53', Atikallah R. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Douglas T. ⚽, Simons T. (A),
  • 65', Menu M. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Menu M. ⚽, Bouziane W. (A),
  • 75', Simons S. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
  • 76', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
  • 76', Hartog J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
  • 77', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
  • 79', Smits A. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Janga R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Toppenberg K. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
  • 83', Budko B. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
  • 89', Blummel S. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,

Chances of winning


FC Eindhoven
38.7%		Draw
25%		Jong AZ Alkmaar
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27.1% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.1% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.41 ↑
    (2.4)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.45)    		 2.58 ↓
    (2.75)    		 6.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 38.6% – 83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 20%). Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 2.
    • FC Eindhoven is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • FC Eindhoven is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 0:2
    02.05.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:4
    04.10.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 2:3
    01.03.2024 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    15.09.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 0:0
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4 ✺
    05.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV 4:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven 2:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:3 ✺
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    12.12.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:4 ✺
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺
    24.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Oss 0:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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