FC Eindhoven vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.47
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
79% (264/335)85% (390/461)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.301.12
Total shots
127
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (264/335)85% (390/461)
Long passes
59% (43/73)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
58% (44/76)74% (99/133)
Crosses
21% (3/14)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.69
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1313
Tackles
72% (13/18)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5036
Clearances
1516
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.122.30
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Blummel S. , Douglas T. (A),
  • 15', Simons S. 🟨,
  • 22', Essers C. , Munsters N. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Hartog J. , Boogaard K. (A),
  • 31', van Veen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Dekkers S. , Atikallah R. ,
  • 46', van Veen K. , Janga R. ,
  • 49', Douglas T. 🟨,
  • 53', Atikallah R. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Douglas T. , Simons T. (A),
  • 65', Menu M. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Menu M. , Bouziane W. (A),
  • 75', Simons S. , Dorenbosch D. ,
  • 76', Muller T. , van Schuppen B. ,
  • 76', Hartog J. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 77', Bouziane W. , Smits A. ,
  • 79', Smits A. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Janga R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Toppenberg K. , Kovacs B. ,
  • 83', Budko B. , Robbemond R. ,
  • 89', Blummel S. , Lukoki Mateso E. ,

Chances of winning


FC Eindhoven
38.7%
Draw
25%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27.1% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.1% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.4)
    3.76
    (3.45)
    2.58
    (2.75)
    6.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 38.6%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 20%). Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 2.
    • FC Eindhoven is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • FC Eindhoven is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 0:2
    02.05.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:4
    04.10.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 2:3
    01.03.2024 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    15.09.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven 0:0
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    12.12.2025 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:4
    05.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV 4:0
    21.11.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:3
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie