Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Granados D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Felanitx
29.8% | Draw
40.5% | Mercadal
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felanitx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Felanitx - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(3.04) |
2.6 ↓
(3.01) |
3.54 ↑
(2.24) |
-4.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 1.
- Felanitx has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mercadal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mercadal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Felanitx won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Felanitx won against Mercadal?
Felanitx has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Felanitx?
Mercadal has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felanitx - Mercadal were as follows:
19.10.2025
Mercadal
-
Felanitx
1:0
03.05.2025
Mercadal
-
Felanitx
7:0
21.12.2024
Felanitx
-
Mercadal
1:1
13.01.2024
Felanitx
-
Mercadal
0:1
Latest results of Felanitx
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 87:20 | 67 | 74 |
| 2 | Manacor | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 64:31 | 33 | 73 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Constancia | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 47:26 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Formentera | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32:50 | -18 | 37 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Son Cladera | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Portmany | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 22:45 | -23 | 28 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 | Collerense | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 22 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
