Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
norwayNorwayVG+
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
turkeyTurkeyA Spor, ATV

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
60
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
147
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
104
Corner kicks
60
Free kicks
1212
Throw ins
1315

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Fettahoglu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Fettahoglu M. , Fernando Andrade ,
  • 46', Aydin O. , Muldur M. ,
  • 46', Musaba A. , Asensio M. ,
  • 46', Yuksek I. , Talisca ,
  • 46', Alvarez E. , Guendouzi M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Asensio M. , Nene D. (A),
  • 60', Sylla C. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 68', Onal M. , Akgun S. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Talisca , Akturkoglu K. (A),
  • 73', Kabak A. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Talisca (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Akpinar M. , Kirtay Y. ,
  • 80', Yener H. , Sarikaya S. ,
  • 85', Nene D. , Ekici A. ,
  • 90+2', Demir Y. E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
84%
Draw
10.8%
Erzurumspor
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.2% 14.1% 7.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.
  • Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.18)
    8.82
    (6.58)
    18.76
    (11.99)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Fenerbahçe (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Fenerbahçe (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Fenerbahçe (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 4).
    • Recent performances by Fenerbahçe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Erzurumspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Erzurumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor were as follows:
    05.02.2025 Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor 5:0
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    02.02.2026 Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    29.01.2026 FCSB - Fenerbahçe 1:1
    25.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Göztepe 1:1
    22.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa 0:1
    18.01.2026 Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe 2:3
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    31.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Sarıyer 4:0
    24.01.2026 Pendikspor - Erzurumspor 1:2
    18.01.2026 Erzurumspor - Amed SK 2:0
    11.01.2026 Sivasspor - Erzurumspor 0:2
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray44008:3512
    2Trabzonspor430113:499
    3Alanyaspor42118:447
    4Basaksehir42028:716
    5Karagumruk41215:6-15
    6Boluspor40221:6-52
    7Istanbulspor AS40222:9-72
    8Fethiyespor40131:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas32106:247
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Rizespor31116:514
    5Kocaelispor31114:314
    6Erzurumspor31024:6-23
    7Keciorengucu31024:9-53
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi30122:5-31


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alanyaspor42118:447
    2Genclerbirligi32106:427
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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