Fenerbahçe vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.22
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
86% (432/502)77% (257/334)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.22
Total shots
179
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2321
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
86% (432/502)77% (257/334)
Long passes
54% (27/50)40% (16/40)
Passes in final third
76% (122/161)63% (45/72)
Crosses
6% (1/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.85
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1217
Tackles
55% (12/22)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5442
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.221.56
Goals prevented
0.22-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Talisca (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Yuksek I. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 1, Kevin (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Louchet T. 🟨,
  • 59', Kevin , Moffi T. ,
  • 64', Asensio M. , Alvarez E. ,
  • 64', Talisca , Szymanski S. ,
  • 69', Gouveia T. , Abdi A. ,
  • 69', Sanson M. , Diop S. ,
  • 70', Yuksek I. 🟨,
  • 73', Yuksek I. , Kahveci I. C. ,
  • 77', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
  • 80', Peprah K. , Mendy A. ,
  • 80', Boga J. , Cho M. ,
  • 81', Akturkoglu K. , Aydin O. ,
  • 81', Nene D. , Fred ,
  • 82', Fred 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
55.3%
Draw
23.9%
Nice
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 24.1% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 23.4% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Fenerbahçe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Fenerbahçe - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.74)
    4.05
    (4)
    4.65
    (4.66)
    3.5%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Nice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Fenerbahçe (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Nice (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (51 of 61 users predict this - 83.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.32%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Nice (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fenerbahçe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Duran J. (Injury) Elmaz B. (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Mercan L. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Rodrigo Becao (Inactive) Yandas M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Boudaoui H. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    28.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor 2:0
    21.09.2025 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 1:1
    17.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor 2:2
    14.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2