Venezia vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice).

: Serie A - Round 36
Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	1.03
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
76% (222/292)	87% (490/561)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	0.85
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
0	3
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
20	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
17	21
Passes
76% (222/292)	87% (490/561)
Long passes
45% (30/66)	57% (33/58)
Passes in final third
64% (50/78)	75% (122/162)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.86
Throw-ins
15	12
Fouls
21	17
Tackles
53% (8/15)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
47	52
Clearances
22	13
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.85	1.31
Goals prevented
-0.15	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Cande F. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
63', Ndour C. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
63', Richardson A. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Oristanio G. ⚽, Zerbin A. (A),
77', 2 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
78', Yeboah J. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
78', Perez K. ↓, Doumbia I. ↑,
79', Pongracic M. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
83', Zerbin A. ↓, Conde C. ↑,
83', Oristanio G. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
83', Busio G. 🟨,
84', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
85', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
88', Dodo 🟨,
90+1', Conde C. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
90+3', Beltran L. 🟨,
90+3', Ranieri L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Venezia
31.7%

Draw
30.4%

Fiorentina
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Venezia - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.29)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)	4.3% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Venezia - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 17 - 27.4%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 35 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 44.2% – 68.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Venezia (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Venezia: Crnigoj D. (Inactive) Duncan A. (Calf Injury) Sagrado R. (Muscle Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury) Zaniolo N. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Venezia: Perez K. (Head Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Fiorentina?

Venezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Venezia?

Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Fiorentina were as follows:

25.08.2024 Fiorentina - Venezia 0:0

Latest results of Venezia

02.05.2025 Torino - Venezia 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Venezia - Milan 0:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Venezia - Monza 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Lecce - Venezia 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

08.05.2025 Fiorentina - Betis 2:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

01.05.2025 Betis - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Venezia - Fiorentina?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
World	Onefootball