Folgore vs Fiorentino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Folgore - Fiorentino
Result
3:0
03/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 5

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Daidola G. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Ura R. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 3 - 0, Daidola G. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 83', Fratini A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Folgore
60.6%
Draw
23.4%
Fiorentino
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.7% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 25.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore's performance.
  • Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Folgore - Fiorentino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.83)
    4.36
    (3.53)
    6.41
    (3.64)
    -2.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3.
    • Folgore is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fiorentino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Folgore is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Fiorentino were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Fiorentino - Folgore 1:1
    24.04.2024 Folgore - Fiorentino 2:0
    06.04.2024 Folgore - Fiorentino 2:2
    17.12.2023 Fiorentino - Folgore 1:2
    22.04.2023 Folgore - Fiorentino 1:0
    Latest results of Folgore
    28.09.2025 Murata - Folgore 0:2
    24.09.2025 Folgore - La Fiorita 0:0
    21.09.2025 Folgore - Faetano 2:0
    12.09.2025 Virtus - Folgore 2:1
    30.08.2025 Folgore - Cailungo 3:0
    Latest results of Fiorentino
    27.09.2025 Fiorentino - Domagnano 0:0
    20.09.2025 San Giovanni - Fiorentino 1:1
    14.09.2025 Fiorentino - Pennarossa 2:0
    29.08.2025 Tre Penne - Fiorentino 2:0
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Virtus761017:41319
    2Tre Fiori761012:21019
    3Folgore750215:41115
    4Domagnano742118:41414
    5Tre Penne742112:4814
    6La Fiorita743019:71210
    7Cosmos73139:5410
    8Juvenes/Dogana72327:709
    9Faetano72146:13-77
    10Libertas71337:12-56
    11Fiorentino71334:11-76
    12Pennarossa72054:16-126
    13San Giovanni71245:12-75
    14Cailungo71153:13-104
    15San Marino Academy U2270164:20-161
    16Murata71248:16-8-4

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)