Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        03/08/2025 at  17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie A Betano - Round 18
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 | 
 Brazil | Caze TV, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, TV Record | 
 China | K-Ball | 
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go | 
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol | 
 Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 | 
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Portugal | Canal 11 | 
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru | 
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.25 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 31% | 69% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (208/273) | 88% (551/623) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.25 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.57 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 9 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 11 | 16 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (208/273) | 88% (551/623) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 52% (24/46) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 75% (112/149) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 23% (3/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.73 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 51 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 24 | 21 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.66 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.66 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 33', Marllon 🟨, 
 - 37', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Plata G. (A), 
 - 40', Richardson 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Niguez S. ↑, 
 - 46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Aylon ↑, 
 - 46', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑, 
 - 55', Richardson ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑, 
 - 67', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A), 
 - 72', Jorginho 🟨, 
 - 75', Bruno Henrique 🟨, 
 - 76', Jorginho ↓, Allan ↑, 
 - 76', Bruno Henrique ↓, Juninho ↑, 
 - 83', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑, 
 - 85', Plata G. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑, 
 - 85', Emerson Royal ↓, Varela G. ↑, 
 - 87', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑, 
 - 90+4', Fernando Sobral 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Ceará  20.9% | Draw  29.2% | Flamengo  49.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ceará - Flamengo Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   4.55 ↑ (3.79) | 
			   3.24 ↓ (3.27) | 
			   1.91 ↓ (2.05) | 
			   5.3% (5.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ceará - Flamengo?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            28 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 63.4% – 93.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Ceará (1.94) (votes: 4 - 100%). 
 
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
 - Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
 - Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
 - There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
Wallace Yan
(Yellow Cards)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
 - There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
 - There are questionable in Flamengo: Vina M.
(Rest)
 - In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Flamengo?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Ceará?
                    
                    
                        
                             Flamengo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Flamengo were as follows:
                                                        
                                04.09.2022 
                                Flamengo 
                                - 
                                Ceará 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Flamengo                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Palmeiras | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 55:26 | 29 | 65 | 
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 59:16 | 43 | 64 | 
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 60 | 
| 4 | Mirassol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 56 | 
| 5 | Bahia | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 52 | 
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 | 
| 7 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 | 
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 | 
| 9 | Vasco | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 49:43 | 6 | 42 | 
| 10 | Corinthians | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 | 
| 11 | Gremio | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 39 | 
| 12 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 | 
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 | 
| 14 | Bragantino | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35:49 | -14 | 36 | 
| 15 | Internacional | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 | 
| 16 | Santos | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 | 
| 17 | Vitoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 31 | 
| 18 | Fortaleza | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 28 | 
| 19 | Juventude | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 26 | 
| 20 | Sport Recife | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 22:49 | -27 | 17 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet