Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, TV Record |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (208/273) | 88% (551/623) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (208/273) | 88% (551/623) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 75% (112/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Marllon 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Plata G. (A),
- 40', Richardson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 46', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 55', Richardson ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 72', Jorginho 🟨,
- 75', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 76', Jorginho ↓, Allan ↑,
- 76', Bruno Henrique ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 83', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 85', Plata G. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 85', Emerson Royal ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 87', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 90+4', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará
20.9% | Draw
29.2% | Flamengo
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Ceará - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.55 ↑
(3.79) |
3.24 ↓
(3.27) |
1.91 ↓
(2.05) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 63.4% – 93.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Ceará (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
Wallace Yan
(Yellow Cards)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Vina M.
(Rest)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Flamengo?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Ceará?
Flamengo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Flamengo were as follows:
04.09.2022
Flamengo
-
Ceará
1:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
