Ceará vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Flamengo
Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, TV Record
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 3, Sport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.25
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
76% (208/273)88% (551/623)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.57
Total shots
914
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1116
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
76% (208/273)88% (551/623)
Long passes
56% (32/57)52% (24/46)
Passes in final third
49% (33/68)75% (112/149)
Crosses
25% (4/16)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.73
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1412
Tackles
64% (9/14)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.571.66
Goals prevented
0.200.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Marllon 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Plata G. (A),
  • 40', Richardson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', de Arrascaeta G. , Niguez S. ,
  • 46', Pedro Henrique , Aylon ,
  • 46', Lourenco , Lucas Mugni ,
  • 55', Richardson , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul , Lucas Mugni (A),
  • 72', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 75', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
  • 76', Jorginho , Allan ,
  • 76', Bruno Henrique , Juninho ,
  • 83', Matheus Bahia , Nicolas ,
  • 85', Plata G. , Victor Hugo ,
  • 85', Emerson Royal , Varela G. ,
  • 87', Diego , Lucas Lima ,
  • 90+4', Fernando Sobral 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
20.9%
Draw
29.2%
Flamengo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 28.9% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 28.7% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Ceará - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.55
    (3.79)
    3.24
    (3.27)
    1.91
    (2.05)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ceará - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 63.4%93.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Ceará (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Thigh Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury) Wallace Yan (Yellow Cards) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Vina M. (Rest)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Flamengo were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Flamengo - Ceará 1:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    20.07.2025 Internacional RS - Ceará 1:0
    16.07.2025 Ceará - Corinthians 0:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet