Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 89% (520/583) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 89% (520/583) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 62% (32/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (44/58) | 81% (153/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
- 48', Jorginho 🟨,
- 62', Varela G. ↓, Vina M. ↑,
- 62', Luiz Araujo ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Leo Pereira ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 68', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
- 68', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 68', Eric Ramires ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 70', Cleiton 🟨,
- 77', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 80', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 80', Eduardo Santos ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Wesley Franca ⚽, Wallace Yan (A),
- 85', Wesley Franca 🟨,
- 88', Pedro 🟨,
- 88', Pedro ↓, Juninho ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
25% | Draw
29.1% | Flamengo
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(2.83) |
3.27 ↑
(3.25) |
2.08 ↓
(2.5) |
4.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(63 of 67 users predict this - 94.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.36% – 99.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Ayrton Lucas
(Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Flamengo?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo were as follows:
25.08.2024
Flamengo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
04.05.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Flamengo
1:1
23.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:0
22.06.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Flamengo
4:0
01.10.2022
Flamengo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
4:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
