Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (280/346) | 89% (520/583) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.72 | 1.15 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (280/346) | 89% (520/583) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (28/50) | 62% (32/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (44/58) | 81% (153/188) |
Crosses |
---|
44% (4/9) | 17% (4/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 0.92 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (13/21) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.15 | 1.72 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.85 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
- 48', Jorginho 🟨,
- 62', Varela G. ↓, Vina M. ↑,
- 62', Luiz Araujo ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Leo Pereira ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 68', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
- 68', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 68', Eric Ramires ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 70', Cleiton 🟨,
- 77', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 80', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 80', Eduardo Santos ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Wesley Franca ⚽, Wallace Yan (A),
- 85', Wesley Franca 🟨,
- 88', Pedro 🟨,
- 88', Pedro ↓, Juninho ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino 25% | Draw 29.1% | Flamengo 45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.8 ↑ (2.83) |
3.27 ↑ (3.25) |
2.08 ↓ (2.5) |
4.9% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(63 of 67 users predict this - 94.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.36% – 99.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Ayrton Lucas
(Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Flamengo?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo were as follows:
25.08.2024
Flamengo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
04.05.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Flamengo
1:1
23.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:0
22.06.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Flamengo
4:0
01.10.2022
Flamengo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
4:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet