Red Bull Bragantino vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo
Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
israelIsraelSport 1
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.75
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
81% (280/346)89% (520/583)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.15
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
925
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
81% (280/346)89% (520/583)
Long passes
56% (28/50)62% (32/52)
Passes in final third
76% (44/58)81% (153/188)
Crosses
44% (4/9)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.92
Throw-ins
1727
Fouls
1118
Tackles
62% (13/21)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
277
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.151.72
Goals prevented
-0.850.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Mosquera H. , Vinicinho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Pedro Henrique , Eduardo Santos ,
  • 46', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa , Jhon Jhon (A),
  • 48', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 62', Varela G. , Vina M. ,
  • 62', Luiz Araujo , Wallace Yan ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Leo Pereira , de Arrascaeta G. (A),
  • 68', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
  • 68', Eduardo Sasha , Pitta I. ,
  • 68', Eric Ramires , Praxedes ,
  • 70', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 77', Leo Pereira 🟨,
  • 80', Lucas Barbosa , Fabinho ,
  • 80', Eduardo Santos , Gustavo Marques ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Wesley Franca , Wallace Yan (A),
  • 85', Wesley Franca 🟨,
  • 88', Pedro 🟨,
  • 88', Pedro , Juninho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Red Bull Bragantino
25%
Draw
29.1%
Flamengo
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 29% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30.1% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino's form might have worsened.
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (2.83)
    3.27
    (3.25)
    2.08
    (2.5)
    4.9%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (63 of 67 users predict this - 94.03%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.36%99.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio (Thigh Injury) Fernando (Calf Injury) Matheus Fernandes (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Injury) Ayrton Lucas (Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel Novaes (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino 2:1
    04.05.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo 1:1
    23.11.2023 Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino 1:0
    22.06.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo 4:0
    01.10.2022 Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino 4:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Latest results of Flamengo
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    12.07.2025 Flamengo - São Paulo 2:0
    29.06.2025 Flamengo - Bayern Munich 2:4
    24.06.2025 Los Angeles - Flamengo 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet