Fleetwood Town vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
06/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
98
Corner Kicks
610
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
210
Corner Kicks
610
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
67
Throw-ins
3439
Fouls
119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Saville G. , Walsh L. ,
  • 63', Alli M. , Kodua G. ,
  • 63', Nordas L. , Yates J. ,
  • 63', Richards J. , Brown J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Ennis E. ,
  • 68', Graydon R. 🟨,
  • 71', Helm M. , Virtue-Thick M. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Yates J. , Kodua G. (A),
  • 74', Johnson J. 🟨,
  • 78', Nelson Z. 🟨,
  • 80', Graydon R. , Davies W. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Ennis E. , Virtue-Thick M. (A),
  • 85', Nelson Z. , Morris S. ,
  • 87', Evans C. , Potter F. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Mengi T. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Hughes K. , Coughlan R. ,
  • 91', Johnson J. , Naismith K. ,
  • 99', Bolton J. , Mullarkey T. ,
  • 106', McCann L. , Medley Z. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Kodua G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Coughlan R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Naismith K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ennis E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Brown J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Holgate H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Walsh L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Neal H. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
26.4%
Draw
27.4%
Luton Town
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 22.9% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 22.7% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Fleetwood Town - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (3.22)
    3.39
    (4.03)
    2.09
    (1.91)
    4.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Luton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton