Result
0:2
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (213/319) | 85% (506/592) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (213/319) | 85% (506/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (59/102) | 72% (97/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Morris S. (A),
- 43', Clarke J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Palmer K. ⚽, Morris S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lee C. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 61', Morris S. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 61', van den Berg D. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 62', Clarke J. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
- 62', Martha A. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
- 73', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 74', Walsh L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 86', Lawrence E. ↓, Sandal S. ↑,
- 88', Odoffin H. 🟨,
- 90+1', Keeley J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
18.6% | Draw
23.1% | Luton Town
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotherham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rotherham United - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.03 ↑
(3.25) |
4.1 ↑
(3.5) |
1.64 ↓
(2.15) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
- Rotherham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Luton is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Powell J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Dawson C.
(Inactive)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kelly L.
(Inactive)
McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
Spence K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Jones I.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Luton Town?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Rotherham United?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Luton Town were as follows:
15.11.2025
Luton Town
-
Rotherham United
0:0
15.04.2023
Rotherham United
-
Luton Town
0:2
12.11.2022
Luton Town
-
Rotherham United
1:1
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
