Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 45
- Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/324) | 70% (234/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/324) | 70% (234/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (13/54) | 32% (25/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (75/122) | 64% (79/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Wells N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', 1 - 1, Phillips A. ⚽,
- 45', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Earl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Connell L. 🟨,
- 55', Walsh L. 🟨,
- 56', Bradshaw T. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
- 56', Earl J. ↓, Gent G. ↑,
- 64', van den Berg D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 64', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
- 64', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 67', Bland J. 🟨,
- 70', Bland J. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
- 76', Phillips A. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 76', Cleary R. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Andersen M. (A),
- 86', Palmer K. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 90+3', Morris S. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
- 90+5', O'Connell E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
64.7% | Draw
20.9% | Barnsley
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3%)
Luton Town - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.57) |
4.47 ↑
(4.15) |
6.47 ↑
(5.15) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Barnsley?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.
- Luton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barnsley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Luton is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Jones I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnsley: McGoldrick D.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Barnsley?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Luton Town?
Barnsley has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Barnsley were as follows:
22.11.2025
Barnsley
-
Luton Town
5:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
